Abstract With the development of tourism industry, it is important to research on disparity of tourism development in China. Many research papers often pay attention to static diversity in one year, and these diversity researches give priority to absolute diversity and neglect the evolvement of relative predominance diversity. This paper quantificationally discusses the evolvement of relative predominance of inter-provincial inbound tourism in China from 1995 to 2005 from the view of location quotient and with the introduction of evolvement probability matrix.
The relative predominance of Chinese inter-provincial inbound tourism shows differences, which presents the trend of continual narrowing in the evolvement over the past decade. In addition, the change of differences is closely related to the national polices and emergencies. The relative predominance basic influences the relative predominance evolvement of inbound tourism of that area. To be specific, as the high basic area inclines to decline, the low basic area tends to rise relatively. Besides, the probability of unusual evolvement in low basic area is bigger than that in high basic area. This probability of evolvement in relative predominance is not independent in space; the special environment has a big influence on the evolvement of relative predominance of inbound tourism. The rising probability of low basic area in Eastern China is obviously more than that of Midwest area of China. It means that the development of inbound tourism of low basic area in eastern of China is better than that in Midwest China.
2010, Vol. 25 
