当今世界有两个货币现象引人注目，一个是欧元危机，另一个是人民币币缘政治影响的扩大。文章总结了扩大人民币币缘政治影响所取得的成效，探讨了进一步提升的路径。将人民币币缘政治影响的扩大总结为使用范围扩大、跨境贸易中结算额增加、与其他货币的互换额攀升、可直接交易国家增多、离岸清算中心数增加、国际地位提升、国际化指数提高7个方面；提出了进一步提升人民币币缘政治影响的6点建议：①促进经济持续稳定发展，增强我国的综合实力与国际竞争力，②积极开展国际贸易合作，③遵循周边→区域→全球的顺序有序推进，④以地缘优势共建“一带一路”倡议，⑤充分发挥香港、中国（上海）自贸区的作用，⑥借力亚投行的平台，优化国际金融格局。
Abstract
There are two major monetary phenomena in today's financial world:one is Euro crisis, the other is the increasing influence of currency-politics about Renminbi (RMB). The international monetary system has gone through from the international Gold Standard System to The BrettonWoods System, and then to The Jamaica System, which is the current international monetary system. In this system, USA and U.S. dollar occupied the dominant position, while Euro, Yen, RMB etc. only play limited roles, which was enslaved to U.S. dollar. After the international financial crisis in 2008, the U.S. dollar experienced a significant depreciation, which led to a serious loss to other economies including China. The crisis exposed the disadvantages of the current international monetary system undoubtedly. In this case, China began to speed up the currency-politics influence about RMB. The paper uses trade data, foreign currency transaction data and statistical data from People's Bank of China and National Bureau of Statistics, summarizes the achievements and points out the existing problems in the process of China expanding the currency-politics influence about RMB, then discusses approaches for promoting in the future. This paper found that China has achieved good results since 2009, when we began to enhance the internationalization of RMB by way of expanding RMB scope, increasing trans-across border trade, increasing bi-lateral exchange of currencies with other economies, increasing direct trading countries, increasing offshore clearing centers, rising international standing and internationalization index. Promoting the currency-politics influence about RMB was useful to enhance China's international status, facilitate the development of the international trade, and so on.
关键词
币缘政治 /
提升路径 /
人民币
Key words
currency-politics /
promote approaches /
Renminbi
{{custom_sec.title}}
{{custom_sec.title}}
{{custom_sec.content}}
参考文献
[1] 李小建,李国平,曾刚,等.经济地理学(第二版)[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2006:381-385.[Li Xiaojian, Li Guoping, Zeng Gang, et al. Economic Geography (Second Edition)[M]. Beijing:Higher Education Press, 2006:381-385.]
[2] World Trade Organization. Statistics database[EB/OL]. (2014-05-06)[2016-04-12]. http://stat.wto.org/StatisticalProgram/WsdbExport_TCNotes.aspx?Language=E.
[3] Pierre-Philippe C, Thierry M, Jacques T.经济地理学:区域和国家一体化[M].安虎森,颜银根,徐杨,等译.北京:中国人民大学出版社, 2011:16-21.[Pierre-Philippe C, Thierry M, Jacques T. Economic Geography:The Integration of Regions and Nations[M]. An Husen, Yan Yinyin, Xu Yang, et al. trans. Beijing:China Renmin University Press, 2011:16-21.]
[4] 王湘穗.币缘政治:国际关系研究新视角[N].中国社会科学报, 2011-12-15(15).[Wang Xiangsui. Currency-Politics:New perspective on international relations[N]. Chineses Social Sciences Today, 2011-12-15(15).]
[5] 王湘穗.币缘政治:世界格局的变化与未来[J].世界经济与政治, 2011(4):10-24.[Wang Xiangsui. Currency-Politics:The changes and future of the world situations[J]. World Economics and Politics, 2011(4):10-24.]
[6] 王湘穗.币缘:金融化时代的国际关系[J].现代国际关系,2008(3):1-8.[Wang Xiangsui. Currency-Politics:International relations in the era of finance[J]. Contemporary International Relations, 2008(3):1-8.]
[7] 伍聪,赵然.政治如何在货币国际化中发挥作用?[J].政治经济学评论,2015,6(6):162-182.[Wu Cong, Zhao Ran. What is politics' status in the process of currency internationalization?[J]. China Review of Political Economy, 2015,6(6):162-182.]
[8] 毛汉英.中国周边地缘政治与地缘经济格局和对策[J].地理科学进展,2014,33(3):289-302.[Mao Hanying. Geopolitical and geoeconomic situation in the surrounding areas and China's strategies[J]. Progress in Geography, 2014,33(3):289-302.]
[9] 陆大道,杜德斌.关于加强地缘政治地缘经济研究的思考[J].地理学报,2013,68(6):723-727.[Lu Dadao, Du Debin. Some thoughts on the strengthening of geopolitical and geo-economic studies[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2013,68(6):723-727.]
[10] 胡志丁,曹原,刘玉立,等.我国政治地理学研究的新发展:地缘环境探索[J].人文地理,2013,28(5):123-128.[Hu Zhiding, Cao Yuan, Liu Yuli, et al. A new development of political geography researchment in China:Geo-setting[J]. Human Geography, 2013,28(5):123-128.]
[11] 刘云刚.中国政治地理学研究展望[J].人文地理,2009,24(2):12-28.[Liu Yungang. A research perspective on Chinese political geography[J]. Human Geography, 2009,24(2):12-28.]
[12] 杜德斌,马亚华.中国崛起的国际地缘战略研究[J].世界地理研究, 2012,21(1):1-16.[Du Debin, Ma Yahua. Geography of containment and anti-containment of China's peaceful rise[J]. World Regional Studies, 2012,21(1):1-16.]
[13] 玛雅.币缘政治与中国战略——与空军少将、国防大学教授乔良对话[J].决策与信息,2013(9):22-31.[Ma Ya. Currency geopolitics and China strategy-A dialogue with the air force major general, the national defense university professor Qiao Liang[J]. Decision & Information, 2013(9):22-31.]
[14] 王湘穗.币权:世界政治的当代枢纽[J].现代国际关系,2009(7):1-8.[Wang Xiangsui. Currency-power:The contemporary hub of world politics[J]. Contemporary International Relations, 2009(7):1-8.]
[15] 王湘穗.地缘政治与币缘政治的交织——解读乌克兰危机的双重视角[J].欧洲研究,2014(6):7-11.[Wang Xiangsui. The interweave of currency-politics and geopolitics:New perspective on crisis in Ukraine[J]. Chinese Journal of European Studies, 2014(6):7-11.]
[16] 国家统计局.改革开放铸辉煌,经济发展谱新篇——1978年以来我国经济社会发展的巨大变化[N].人民日报,2013-11-06(11).[National Bureau of Statistics. The policy of Reform and Open's casting is brilliant, and the economic development is turning a new page-Since 1978, China's economic and social development has showed great changes[N]. People's Daily, 2013-11-06(11).]
[17] 国家统计局.国家数据[EB/OL].(2016-01-29)[2016-03-28]. http://data.stats.gov.cn/easyquery.htm?cn=C01&zb=A0L04&sj=2016.[National Bureau of Statistics. National data[EB/OL].(2016-01-29)[2016-03-28]. http://data.stats.gov.cn/easyquery.htm?cn=C01&zb=A0L04&sj=2016.]
[18] 李若谷.国际货币体系改革与人民币国际化[M].北京:中国金融出版社,2009:34-36.[Li Ruogu. The Reform of the International Monetary System and the Internationalization of RMB[M]. Beijing:China Financial Publishing House, 2009:34-36.]
[19] 博源基金会.人民币国际化:缘起与发展[M].北京:社会科学文献出版社,2011:42.[Boyuan Foundation. RMB Internationalization:Originating from the Development[M]. Beijing:Social Science Literature Press, 2011:42.]
[20] Shih V, Steinberg D A. The domestic politics of the international dollar standard:A statistical analysis of support for the reserve currency, 2000-2008[J]. Canadian Journal of Political Science-Revue Canadienne De Science Politique, 2012,45(4):855-880.
[21] 兰永海,贾林州,温铁军.美元"币权"战略与中国之应对[J].世界经济与政治,2012(3):121-137,160.[Lan Yonghai, Jia Linzhou, Wen Tiejun. The U.S. strategy on "currency power" and China's response[J].World Economics and Politics, 2012(3):121-137,160.]
[22] Frieden J A. Real sources of European currency policy:Sectoral interests and European monetary integration[J]. International Organization, 2002,56(4):831-860.
[23] Jonas H, Jon P. The politics of currency crises in Sweden:Policy choice in a globalized economy[J]. West European Politics, 1998,21(3):103-119.
[24] Tung Chenyuan, Wang Guochen, Jason Yeh. Renminbi internationalization:Progress, prospect and comparison[J]. China & World Economy, 2012,20(5):63-82.
[25] 林宏宇,李小三.国际货币权力与地缘政治冲突[J].国际关系学院学报,2012(1):6-11.[Lin Hongyu, Li Xiaosan. International monetary power and geopolitical conflicts[J]. Journal of University of International Relations, 2012(1):6-11.]
[26] 林乐芬,王少楠. "一带一路"进程中人民币国际化影响因素的实证分析[J].国际金融研究,2016(2):75-83.[Lin Lefen, Wang Shaonan. An empirical analysis on the factors of the RMB's internationalization in the process of "the Belt and Road Initiative of China"[J]. Studies of International Finance, 2016(2):75-83.]
[27] 李浩,贾林州,赵清斌.币缘政治时代的中国粮食安全战略选择[J]. 金融与经济,2012(10):63-66.[Li Hao, Jia Linzhou, Zhao Qingbin. China's food security strategy in the era of currency-politics[J]. Journal of Finance and Economics, 2012(10):63-66.]
[28] 杨劲松,赵小丽.面向人民币国际化的中国旅游企业跨国投资促进模式研究[J].特区经济,2012(7):165-167.[Yang Jinsong, Zhao Xiaoli. Research on the international investment promotion model of Chinese tourism enterprises for the RMB internationalization[J]. Special Zone Economy, 2012(7):165-167.]
[29] 刘学梅.人民币国际化与区域化问题研究[M].北京:经济科学出版社,2013:79-83.[Liu Xuemei. Research on the RMB Internationalization and Regionalization[M]. Beijing:Economic Science Press, 2013:79-83.]
[30] 中国人民银行.人民银行印发跨境贸易人民币结算试点管理细则[EB/OL].(2009-07-04)[2015-06-04]. http://www.gov.cn/gzdt/2009-07/04/content_1357112.htm.[The People's Bank of China. The People's Bank issued RMB settlement pilot management rules on cross-border trade[EB/OL].(2009-07-04)[2015-06-04]. http://www.gov.cn/gzdt/2009-07/04/content_1357112.htm.]
[31] 曹远征.人民币国际化战略[M].海口:海南出版社,2013:119-123.[Cao Yuanzheng. The Strategy of RMB Internationalization[M]. Haikou:Hainan Press, 2013:119-123.]
[32] 陈雨露,等.人民币国际化报告2014:人民币离岸市场建设与发展[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2014:6, 20-21.[Chen Yulu, et al. Report on the RMB Internationalization-2014:The Construction and Development of RMB Offshore Market[M]. Beijing:China Renmin University Press, 2014:6,20-21.]
[33] Bank for International Settlement. Triennial central bank survey:Foreign exchange turnover in April 2013:preliminary global results[M]. Switzerland:Back for International Settlement, 2013:1-24.
[34] 霍伟东.人民币区研究[M].北京:人民出版社,2015:16-19.[Huo Weidong. The Study of RMB-ZONE[M]. Beijing:People Press, 2015:16-19.]
[35] 赵亚博,方创琳.中国与中亚地区油气资源合作开发模式与前景分析[J].世界地理研究,2014,23(1):29-36.[Zhao Yabo, Fang Chuanglin. Analysis on pattern and prospect of the cooperation of oil and gas resources between China and Central Asia[J]. World Regional Studies, 2014,23(1):29-36.]
[36] 刘卫东. "一带一路"战略的科学内涵与科学问题[J].地理科学进展,2015,34(5):538-544.[Liu Weidong. Scientific understanding of the Belt and Road Initiative of China and related research themes[J]. Progress in Geography, 2015,34(5):538-544.]
[37] 谢卫群.上海自贸区"扩大人民币跨境使用"细则出台:人民币国际化加速[N]. 人民日报,2014-02-22(2).[Xie Weiqun. Shanghai free trade zone issued "the detailed rules and regulations on expanding RMB cross-border usage":RMB internationalization is accelerating[N]. People's Daily, 2014-02-22(2).]
[38] 党军.1997年诺贝尔经济学奖得主迈伦·斯科尔斯教授访谈录[J]. 人文地理,2013,28(6):161.[Dang Jun. Interview with professor Myron Scholes who won the Nobel Economics Prize in 1997[J]. Human Geography, 2013,28(6):161.]
PDF(1638 KB)
