Abstract：The authors utilize the routes comparison model and gravity model to forecast the cargo flows through the ports and related routes in TREDA (2000-2020).The authors also inquire into the main obstacles which affect the cargo flows of the region, analyze the influences on cargo flows if the obstacles change with sensitivity analyses.
王荣成, 陈才, Burkhard von Rabenau. 图们江地区物流长期预测研究的理论与方法[J]. 人文地理, 1999, 14(3): 21-25,64.
WANG Rong-cheng, CHEN Cai, Burkhard von Rabenau. THEORIES AND METHODOLOGIES ON LONG TERM PROJECTION OF CARGO FLOWS IN TUMEN RIVER ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AREA (TREDA). HUMAN GEOGRAPHY, 1999, 14(3): 21-25,64.
