|
|
|
| THE DYNAMIC ANALYSIS OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN GANSU SINCE REFORM AND OPENING UP——Based on the Perspective of the Industrial Structure Evolution |
| YUE Min, LI Han-lin |
| College of Geography and Environment Sciences, Northwest Normal University, Lanzhou 730070, China |
|
|
|
|
Abstract Since the reform and opening up, the gap in the economic development between Gansu and the other provinces is becoming wider. The evolution of the industrial structure is not in line with the general rules of evolution of industrial structure in Gansu. The paper, first, uses the relevant indicators to give the quantitative analysis on the conditions of industrial structure, the evolution of industrial structure and the effect of industrial structure to the promotion of employment and urbanization in 1978-2006. The dynamic features of the evolution of industrial industry and the the economic impact are obtained. Then, the paper further uses the partial component method to analyze the impact of the evaluation of industrial structure and the industrial competitiveness on the impact of economic growth in Gansu in three stages, the results showthat:to begin with, the actual growth of the first industry has always been lower than the national level, its growth mainly relies on the lead of industrial development in all the country. Furthermore, the competitiveness of the second industrial is very weak and its actual growth is below the national level in the former two phases, but the industrial structure has been optimized and the competitiveness has been enhanced because the deviation component and the competitiveness components all get positive since 2000. Lastly, the development of the third industry is better than the first and the second industries with the improvement of the internal structure, so the third industry has the potential to become the best competitive industry. In a word, the development level of the first industry is so backward that it can not provide the necessary accumulation and effective demand for the development of the second and third ones. The second industry is the only virtually high level under repeated construction, the growth rate of the third industry is relatively faster. The contradictions in all the inner industrial structures, the overall development of economy in Gansu are only the quantity leap of the continuation and expansion, but not a leap of quality, the sustainable development of economy and society is seriously constrained by the irrational industrial structures in Gansu. At last, the paper identifies the problems and the reasons in the evolution of the industrial structures and puts forward the relevant proposals.
|
|
Received: 15 December 2007
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2009, Vol. 24 
