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人文地理  2014, Vol. 29 Issue (2): 129-137    DOI: 10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2014.02.021
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中国人口迁移特征及其影响因素——基于第六次人口普查数据的分析
刘晏伶, 冯健
北京大学 城市与环境学院, 北京 100871
CHARACTERISTICS AND IMPACT FACTORS OF MIGRATION IN CHINA: BASED ON THE ANALYSIS OF THE SIXTH CENSUS DATA
LIU Yan-ling, FENG Jian
College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China

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摘要 利用2010年第六次人口普查数据,对我国人口迁移的特征及其影响因素进行研究。首先分析了包括年龄、性别、受教育程度和职业分布等在内的迁移人群的社会经济特征,继而从迁移原因、迁移人口的城乡分布、迁移时间、迁移类型与属性的交叉分析等方面探讨了人口迁移的类型学特征。引入就业可达性概念,分析了人口迁移率的空间格局、就业可达性与人口迁移率的空间匹配关系以及人口迁移流的空间格局,发现通过就业可达性格局可以很好地解释人口迁移率的分布。最后,采取多元线性回归技术研究了人口迁移的影响因素,结果表明,迁入地城镇居民收入与迁移率呈正相关关系,而迁出地城镇收入、迁入地的科技文化水平、迁移距离和迁入地农村收入则与迁移率呈负相关关系。
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关键词 人口迁移省际迁移人口空间格局就业可达性第六次人口普查    
Abstract:This paper uses the sixth census data to study China's population migration phenomenon in 2010. First of all, the paper does quantitative analysis of distribution of age, gender, educational level, occupational and other social characteristics of 2010 non-permanent migration population, which has a very typical feature, and is closely related with the survival and development complementary of flowing population in large cities. Then, the authors analyze the characteristics of typology of migration, including the reason of migration, rural vs urban distribution of migration population, the time of migration, the crossing analysis between migration types and socio-economic attribute. By introducing the concept of employment accessibility, the authors try to study the following aspects including the spatial pattern of the rate of migration, the matching relationship of space between employment accessibility and the rate of migration, the spatial pattern of migration flow. At last, the paper takes a multiple linear regression model to analyze the impact of the personal characteristics of the flowing population and social factors in 2010 on migration choice. And the results show that there is a positive correlation between the rate of migration and the income of urban residents of immigration destination, while there is a negative correlation between the rate of migration and other factors including the income of urban residents of emigration destination, the scientific and cultural level of immigration destination, the distance of migration and the income of the rural area of immigration destination.
Key wordsmigration    inter-province migration    demographic pattern    employment accessibility    the sixth census   
收稿日期: 2013-05-22     
基金资助:

国家自然科学基金项目(41101151;40971085)

通讯作者: 冯健(1975-),男,江苏沛县人,副教授,博士,主要从事城市地理研究,在中英文刊物上发表学术论文80余篇,出版著作10部。E-mail:fengjian@pku.edu.cn。     E-mail: fengjian@pku.edu.cn
作者简介: 刘晏伶(1988-),女,四川邛崃市人,硕士生,主要从事城市与区域发展研究。
引用本文:   
刘晏伶, 冯健. 中国人口迁移特征及其影响因素——基于第六次人口普查数据的分析[J]. 人文地理, 2014, 29(2): 129-137. LIU Yan-ling, FENG Jian. CHARACTERISTICS AND IMPACT FACTORS OF MIGRATION IN CHINA: BASED ON THE ANALYSIS OF THE SIXTH CENSUS DATA. HUMAN GEOGRAPHY, 2014, 29(2): 129-137.
链接本文:  
http://rwdl.xisu.edu.cn/CN/10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2014.02.021      或     http://rwdl.xisu.edu.cn/CN/Y2014/V29/I2/129
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