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人文地理  2007, Vol. 22 Issue (2): 32-38    DOI: 10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2007.02.008
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长江三角洲城市入境旅游流区域内流动份额分析
卞显红1,2, 沙润2, 杜长海3
1. 江南大学商学院, 无锡 214122;
2. 南京师范大学地理科学学院, 南京 210097;
3. 南京师范大学数学与计算机科学学院, 南京 210097
ANALYSIS ON REGIONAL FLOATING SHARE OF INBOUND TOUR FLOW IN THE YANGTZE RIVER DELTA
BIAN Xian-hong1,2, SHA Run2, DU Chang-hai3
1. Institute of Commerce, Southern Yangtze University, Wuxi 214122, China;
2. Geographic Institute, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210097, China;
3. Institute of Mathematics and Compute science, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210097, China

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摘要 该文运用模糊综合评判法与层次分析理论,结合长江三角洲城市旅游相关研究资料与研究成果,构建了长江三角洲某特定城市的入境旅游者对该区域其它城市旅游目的地选择的模糊综合评判矩阵。该文应用相应的模糊综合评判矩阵分别对上海、南京、杭州、苏州、无锡、宁波等长江三角洲6座城市的入境旅游者对该区域其它城市的旅游流份额进行了定量分析,并对这6座城市在长江三角洲的旅游流流动规律进行了定量分析与评价。
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关键词 模糊综合评判法长江三角洲城市旅游入境旅游流份额预测    
Abstract:Urban tourism integrative development region in the Yangtse River Delta includes fifteen cities,such as regional important cities of Shanghai,Nanjing,Hangzhou,Suzhou,Wuxi,Ningbo,Shaoxing,Zhenjiang,Yangzhou,Huzhou,Jiaxing,Zhoushan,Nantong,Taizhou,etc.This area is about one hundred thousand square kilometers and has played an important role in regional tourism development in China.
On the base of city tourism research data and achievements,by using fuzzy integrative evaluation method and Hierarchy Process Analysis theory,this paper constructs fuzzy integrative evaluation matrix,predicts the inbound tourist floating share in Shanghai,Nanjing,Hangzhou,Suzhou,Wuxi,Ningbo flow to other cities respectively,and makes quantity analysis on the tourism floating law of the six cities in the Yangtse River Delta.
This paper concludes the tourist destination influencing factors of inbound tourist in a certain city choosing other cities in the Yangtze River Delta as ten kinds,including tourism integrative attractions of the destination city,tourist integrative development level,tourism traffic distance and service,population of the city,GDP and GDP per person,tourism center function degree,tourism destination price level,tourism service quality of the destination,tourism destination marketing,tourism destination competition and cooperation degree.
The main aim of city tourism spatial integrative development in the Yangtze River Delta is to construct integrative development conditions and make all tourist factors,which include visitors flow,tourist capital flow,tourist material flow,talented people flow,and tourist technology flow.City tourism integrative development will be helpful to realize the inbound tourist arrivals flow to move reasonably and freely,and to promote to sustainable,healthy,fast,and balanced development of regional urban tourism.
Key wordsfuzzy integrative evaluation method    the Yangtze River Delta    urban tourism    inbound tourist flow    the share prediction   
收稿日期: 2006-03-23     
基金资助:

国家社会科学基金青年项目(04CJY022)

作者简介: 卞显红(1974-),男,安徽寿县人,江南大学商学院教师,南京师范大学旅游系博士研究生,主要从事城市旅游管理与规划、旅游饭店管理方面的研究与教学工作。
引用本文:   
卞显红, 沙润, 杜长海. 长江三角洲城市入境旅游流区域内流动份额分析[J]. 人文地理, 2007, 22(2): 32-38. BIAN Xian-hong, SHA Run, DU Chang-hai. ANALYSIS ON REGIONAL FLOATING SHARE OF INBOUND TOUR FLOW IN THE YANGTZE RIVER DELTA. HUMAN GEOGRAPHY, 2007, 22(2): 32-38.
链接本文:  
http://rwdl.xisu.edu.cn/CN/10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2007.02.008      或     http://rwdl.xisu.edu.cn/CN/Y2007/V22/I2/32
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