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| ANALYSIS ON MULTIPLE LAYERS FOR THE EVOLUTION PROCESS OF URBANIZATION AND FORECAST ON ITS TREND IN XI'AN CITY |
| XUE Dong-qian, DAI Lan-hai |
| College of Tourism and Environment, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi'an 710062, China |
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Abstract There is an identical rule between evolution process of urbanization and layout phases of productive forces. This paper has quantitatively analyzed its evolution features, especially the connection between urbanization and economic development as well as its regularity, from two angles of time-order of urbanization change, and connection between urbanization and economic development. The authors have pointed out that urbanization efficiency is rising constantly in different periods(decrease of structure elasticity), intensity level is rising, urbanization and non-agriculture is inclining to rationalization, urbanization lags behind economic development, there are five phases according to the connection between urbanization and economic development, the relationship between change of urbanization and increase of per capita suits to index model, and the relationship between density of towns and increase of suits to linear function. At last, the thesis have researched urbanization trend from these aspects of migration of population, change of population density, layer distribution of urbanization as well as development and division of satellite towns.
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Received: 30 July 2005
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2006, Vol. 21 
