多维邻近性视域下大北极国家能源贸易网络的演进动力研究

杨文龙; 胡志丁; 史文天

doi:10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2022.02.005

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人文地理 ›› 2022, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (2) : 31-40,93. DOI: 10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2022.02.005

地缘环境研究专栏

多维邻近性视域下大北极国家能源贸易网络的演进动力研究

杨文龙¹, 胡志丁², 史文天³

作者信息 +

THE EVOLUTIONARY DYNAMICS OF THE ENERGY TRADE NETWORKS IN THE PAN ARCTIC STATE BASED ON THE PERSPECTIVE OF MULTI-DIMENSION PROXIMITY

YANG Wen-long¹, HU Zhi-ding², SHI Wen-tian³

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文章历史 +

摘要

气候变化引致北极海冰消融，世界大国的北极能源竞争愈发激烈。厘清各国能源贸易关系，寻求各方利益最大公约数，积极推动“冰上丝绸之路”建设是避免北极地区出现“公地悲剧”的重要路径。本文结合大北极国家概念，运用复杂网络分析方法探究大北极国家能源贸易网络的演进过程及其多维邻近性动力机制，主要结论如下：①网络总体趋向稠密化，其供应重心向西偏移，消费重心向东转移，产销空间高度分离。②网络表现出典型的“核心—边缘”结构，逐步形成以美加俄为主导的“三极”格局。③网络的三大子群日益显现，中国在网络中的地位不断攀升。④网络演进过程受多维邻近性动力驱动，经济差异是主要内生性动力，地理邻近性是重要自然基础，组织邻近性是主要推动力，文化邻近性的作用趋向弱化，制度邻近性的作用愈加凸显。中国需抓住大北极能源贸易网络消费重心东移的契机，加速推进“冰上丝绸之路”建设，与大北极国家建立“三环”能源合作体系和高效稳定的能源合作机制。

Abstract

With the global energy competition becoming increasingly intense, countries are paying more and more attention to the energy interests of the Arctic which is no ownership area. Based on the complex network perspective, drawing on the concept of the Pan Arctic State and using Pajek, Ucinet and ArcGIS, this paper makes an in-depth study on the evolution process and its multi-dimension proximity. The main conclusions are as follows. Firstly, the networks tend to be dense. The center of supply network is shifting westward, while the center of consumer network is expanding eastwards. Energy trade presents a spatial pattern of high separation between production and marketing. Secondly, the network is characterized by the "coreperipheral" structure. Energy trade has formed a "three poles" pattern dominated by the United State, Canada and Russia. Thirdly, the dominant flow shows three subgroups and the energy grouping is becoming patently obvious. Eastern European countries gradually become the "structural hole" of network. Fourthly, the evolution of networks is driven by multi-dimension proximity. Economic differences are endogenous. Geographical proximity is the key spatial foundation. Organizational proximity is the main driver.

导出引用

杨文龙, 胡志丁, 史文天. 多维邻近性视域下大北极国家能源贸易网络的演进动力研究[J]. 人文地理. 2022, 37(2): 31-40,93 https://doi.org/10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2022.02.005

YANG Wen-long, HU Zhi-ding, SHI Wen-tian. THE EVOLUTIONARY DYNAMICS OF THE ENERGY TRADE NETWORKS IN THE PAN ARCTIC STATE BASED ON THE PERSPECTIVE OF MULTI-DIMENSION PROXIMITY[J]. HUMAN GEOGRAPHY. 2022, 37(2): 31-40,93 https://doi.org/10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2022.02.005

中图分类号： K901.4

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