多维邻近性视域下大北极国家能源贸易网络的演进动力研究

doi:10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2022.02.005

摘要
图/表
参考文献(0)
相关文章 (5)

全文: PDF (14483 KB) HTML (1 KB)
输出: BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)

摘要气候变化引致北极海冰消融，世界大国的北极能源竞争愈发激烈。厘清各国能源贸易关系，寻求各方利益最大公约数，积极推动“冰上丝绸之路”建设是避免北极地区出现“公地悲剧”的重要路径。本文结合大北极国家概念，运用复杂网络分析方法探究大北极国家能源贸易网络的演进过程及其多维邻近性动力机制，主要结论如下：①网络总体趋向稠密化，其供应重心向西偏移，消费重心向东转移，产销空间高度分离。②网络表现出典型的“核心—边缘”结构，逐步形成以美加俄为主导的“三极”格局。③网络的三大子群日益显现，中国在网络中的地位不断攀升。④网络演进过程受多维邻近性动力驱动，经济差异是主要内生性动力，地理邻近性是重要自然基础，组织邻近性是主要推动力，文化邻近性的作用趋向弱化，制度邻近性的作用愈加凸显。中国需抓住大北极能源贸易网络消费重心东移的契机，加速推进“冰上丝绸之路”建设，与大北极国家建立“三环”能源合作体系和高效稳定的能源合作机制。

	服务

	把本文推荐给朋友
	加入我的书架
	加入引用管理器
	E-mail Alert
	RSS
	作者相关文章
	杨文龙
	胡志丁
	史文天

关键词 ：能源贸易, 复杂网络, 邻近性, QAP, 大北极国家

Abstract：With the global energy competition becoming increasingly intense, countries are paying more and more attention to the energy interests of the Arctic which is no ownership area. Based on the complex network perspective, drawing on the concept of the Pan Arctic State and using Pajek, Ucinet and ArcGIS, this paper makes an in-depth study on the evolution process and its multi-dimension proximity. The main conclusions are as follows. Firstly, the networks tend to be dense. The center of supply network is shifting westward, while the center of consumer network is expanding eastwards. Energy trade presents a spatial pattern of high separation between production and marketing. Secondly, the network is characterized by the "coreperipheral" structure. Energy trade has formed a "three poles" pattern dominated by the United State, Canada and Russia. Thirdly, the dominant flow shows three subgroups and the energy grouping is becoming patently obvious. Eastern European countries gradually become the "structural hole" of network. Fourthly, the evolution of networks is driven by multi-dimension proximity. Economic differences are endogenous. Geographical proximity is the key spatial foundation. Organizational proximity is the main driver.

Key words： energy trade complex network proximity QAP the Pan Artic State

收稿日期: 2021-05-21

PACS:

K901.4

基金资助:国家自然科学基金项目（42001135）；华东师范大学一带一路与全球发展研究专项课题（ECNU-BRGD-202103）

通讯作者: 胡志丁（1986—），男，江西上饶人，博士，研究员，博士生导师，主要研究方向为全球化与地缘环境。E-mail:huzhiding2007@126.com。 E-mail: huzhiding2007@126.com。

作者简介: 杨文龙（1991—），男，福建平潭人，博士，助理研究员，主要研究方向为世界地理和地缘战略。E-mail:yangwenlong_pt@163.com。

引用本文:

杨文龙, 胡志丁, 史文天. 多维邻近性视域下大北极国家能源贸易网络的演进动力研究[J]. 人文地理, 2022, 37(2): 31-40,93. YANG Wen-long, HU Zhi-ding, SHI Wen-tian. THE EVOLUTIONARY DYNAMICS OF THE ENERGY TRADE NETWORKS IN THE PAN ARCTIC STATE BASED ON THE PERSPECTIVE OF MULTI-DIMENSION PROXIMITY. HUMAN GEOGRAPHY, 2022, 37(2): 31-40,93.

链接本文:

http://rwdl.xisu.edu.cn/CN/10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2022.02.005 或 http://rwdl.xisu.edu.cn/CN/Y2022/V37/I2/31

[1]	杨宇,何则.能源地缘政治与能源权力研究[J].地理科学进展,2021, 40(3):524-540.[Yang Yu, He Ze. Energy geopolitics and power[J]. Progress in Geography, 2021,40(3):524-540.]
[2]	杜德斌,秦大河,马亚华,等.冰冻圈地缘政治时代的到来[J].中国科学院院刊,2020,35(4):514-522.[Du Debin, Qin Dahe, Ma Yahua, et al. The age of cryopolitics is coming[J]. Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences, 2020,35(4):514-522.]
[3]	Haverluk T W. The age of cryopolitics[J]. Focus on Geography, 2011,50(3):1-6.
[4]	罗英杰,李飞.大国北极博弈与中国北极能源安全——兼论"冰上丝绸之路"推进路径[J].国际安全研究,2020,38(2):91-115,159.[Luo Yingjie, Li Fei. The great powers' arctic game and China's arctic energy security:Probing into the advancement path of the "Ice Silk Road" framework[J]. Journal of International Security Studies, 2020,38(2):91-115,159.
[5]	何则,杨宇,刘毅,等.世界能源贸易网络的演化特征与能源竞合关系[J].地理科学进展,2019,38(10):1621-1632.[He Ze, Yang Yu, Liu Yi, et al. Characteristics of evolution of global energy trading network and relationships between major countries[J]. Progress in Geography, 2019,38(10):1621-1632.]
[6]	杨青龙,刘培.2003-2012年国际资源性商品贸易格局的社会网络分析——以煤炭、焦炭为例[J].国际经贸探索,2015,31(4):16-29.[Yang Qinglong, Liu Pei. A social network analysis of international trade patterns of resource commodities based on the 2003-2012 trade data of coal and coke[J]. International Economics and Trade Research, 2015,31(4):16-29.]
[7]	Gao C, Sun M, Shen B. Features and evolution of international fossil energy trade relationships:A weighted multilayer network analysis[J]. Applied Energy, 2015,156:542-554.
[8]	肖建忠,彭莹,王小林.天然气国际贸易网络演化及区域特征研究——基于社会网络分析方法[J].中国石油大学学报(社会科学版), 2013,29(3):1-8.[Xiao Jianzhong, Peng Ying, Wang Xiaolin. On the evolution of natural gas international trade network and regional variations[J]. Journal of China University of Petroleum (Edition of Social Sciences) 2013,29(3):1-8.]
[9]	张宏,王礼茂,宋涛,等.面向全空间的管道天然气贸易关联关系挖掘[J].地球信息科学学报,2017,19(9):1253- 1260.[Zhang Hong, Wang Limao, Song Tao, et al. Mining of association relationship of the pan spatial-oriented trade of pipeline natural gas[J]. Journal of Geo-information Science, 2017,19(9):1253-1260.]
[10]	Wang S, Chen B. Hybrid ecological network and flow- distance analysis for international oil trade[J]. Energy Procedia, 2016,104:209-214.
[11]	Yang Y, Poon J P, Liu Y, et al. Small and flat worlds:A complex network analysis of international trade in crude oil[J]. Energy, 2015,93:534-543.
[12]	An H, Zhong W, Chen Y, et al. Features and evolution of international crude oil trade relationships:A trading-based network analysis[J]. Energy, 2014,74:254-259.
[13]	Geng J B, Ji Q, Fan Y. A dynamic analysis on global natural gas trade network[J]. Applied Energy, 2014,132:23-33.
[14]	Ji Q, Zhang H Y, Fan Y. Identification of global oil trade patterns:An empirical research based on complex network theory[J]. Energy Conversion and Management, 2014,85:856-865.
[15]	孙琪,赵媛,张新林,等". 一带一路"沿线国家石油资源流动类型演变[J]. 世界地理研究,2020,29(2):337- 345.[Sun Qi, Zhao Yuan, Zhang Xinlin. The evolution of the types of petroleum resources flow in the countries along "Belt and Road"[J]. World Regional Studies, 2020,29(2):337-345.]
[16]	Kitamura T, Managi S. Driving force and resistance:Network feature in oil trade[J]. Applied Energy, 2017,208:361-375.
[17]	吴群锋,杨汝岱.网络与贸易:一个扩展引力模型研究框架[J].经济研究,2019,54(2):84-101.[Wu Qunfeng, Yang Rudai. Network and trade:Research on the extended gravity equation[J]. Economic Research Journal, 2019,54(2):84-101.]
[18]	杨文龙,杜德斌,马亚华,等". 一带一路"沿线国家贸易网络空间结构与邻近性[J].地理研究,2018,37(11):2218-2235.[Yang Wenlong, Du Debin, Ma Yahua, et al. Network structure and proximity of the trade network in the Belt and Road region[J]. Geographical Research, 2018,37(11):2218-2235.]
[19]	Ellis P D. Paths to foreign markets:Does distance to market affect firm internationalisation?[J]. International Business Review, 2007, 16(5):573-593.
[20]	Oerlemans L, Meeus M. Do organizational and spatial proximity impact on firm performance?[J]. Regional Studies, 2005,39(1):89- 104.
[21]	贺灿飞,金璐璐,刘颖.多维邻近性对中国出口产品空间演化的影响[J].地理研究,2017,36(9):1613-1626.[He Canfei, Jin Lulu, Liu Ying. How does multi- proximity affect the evolution of export product space in China?[J]. Geographical Research, 2017,36(9):1613-1626.
[22]	Miura K, Takechi K. Institutional quality and homogeneity, and types of international transactions[J]. Journal of International Economic Studies, 2014,28:3-15.
[23]	刘爱兰,王智烜,黄梅波.文化差异比制度差异更重要吗?:来自中国对非洲出口的经验证据[J].世界经济研究,2018(10):91-107, 137.[Liu Ailan, Wang Zhixuan, Huang Meibo. Is cultural distance more significant than institutional distance? Empirical evidence from China's export to Africa[J]. World Economy Studies, 2018(10):91-107,137.]
[24]	于宏源.气候变化与北极地区地缘政治经济变迁[J].国际政治研究,2015,36(4):73- 87,6- 7.[Yu Hongyuan. Climate change and the evolution of geopolitics and geoeconomics in the Arctic region[J]. The Journal of International Studies, 2015,36(4):73-87,6-7.]
[25]	柳思思". 近北极机制"的提出与中国参与北极[J].社会科学,2012(10):26-34.[Liu Sisi. Subarctic mechanism and China's participation in the Arctic region[J]. Journal of Social Sciences, 2012(10):26-34.]
[26]	丁煌,张冲.泛北极共同体的设想与中国身份的塑造——一种建构主义的解读[J]. 江苏行政学院学报,2016(4):76- 83.[Ding Huang, Zhang Chong. The vision of Pan-Arctic community and the molding of Chinese identity:An interpretation of constructivism[J]. The Journal of Jiangsu Administration Institute, 2016(4):76-83.]
[27]	李振福.北极地缘政治的多尺度特征——兼论北极问题与南海问题的本质不同[J].东北亚论坛,2021,30(2):41-59,127.[Li Zhenfu. Study on multi- dimension features of Arctic geopolitics:Also on the essential differences between the Arctic Issue and the South China Sea issue[J]. Northeast Asia Forum, 2021,30(2):41-59,127.]
[28]	李振福.大北极国家网络及中国的大北极战略研究[J].东北亚论坛,2015,24(2):31-44,127.[Li Zhenfu. Research on the network of the Large Arctic Countries and the strategies for China[J]. Northeast Asia Forum, 2015,24(2):31-44,127.]
[29]	刘军.整体网络分析:UCINET软件实用指南(第二版)[M].上海:上海人民出版社,2014.[Liu Jun. Lectures on Whole Network Approach:A Practical Guide to UCINET(2nd)[M]. Shanghai:Shanghai Renming Press, 2014:221-234.]
[30]	特德·诺伊,安德烈·姆尔瓦, 弗拉迪米尔·巴塔盖尔吉·蜘蛛:社会网络分析技术[M]. 林枫,译.北京:世界图书出版公司北京公司,2012.[Wouter de Nooy, Andrej Mrvar, Vladimir Batagelj. Exploratory Social Network Analysis with Pajek[M]. Lin Feng, trans. Beijing:Beijing World Publishing Corporation, 2012:253-267.]
[31]	Kitagawa H. Arctic routing:Challenges and opportunities[J]. WMU Journal of Maritime Affairs, 2008,7(2):485-503.
[32]	Liu M, Kronbak J. The potential economic viability of using the Northern Sea Route (NSR) as an alternative route between Asia and Europe[J]. Journal of transport Geography, 2010,18(3):434-444.