THE SPATIOTEMPORAL EVOLUTIONARY CHARACTERISTICS OF FARMERS' INCOME GROWTH IMPETUS FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF INCOME STRUCTURE: A CASE STUDY OF ROCKY DESERTIFICATION POVERTY ALLEVIATION AREAS
ZHOU Tao, HUANG Dong-yue
School of Management Science and Real Estate, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400045, China
Abstract:The sustainable and stable growth of farmers' income is important to further consolidate the results of poverty alleviation areas and achieve rural revitalization in poverty alleviation areas. This paper constructs an analytical framework for farmers' income growth based on theoretical analysis, uses data from 80 counties in rocky desert poverty alleviation areas to measure farmers' income growth impetus and its combined relationship with the Weaver-Thomas model, and uses the grey correlation model to verify the correlation between the structure of farmers' income growth impetus and its stability with the level and growth rate of farmers' income, and then explore the spatiotemporal development characteristics of farmers' income growth impetus in the study area. The study shows that:1) The growth of farmers' income is driven by five types of factors, including the development of non-agricultural industries, the development of agricultural industries, capital investment, infrastructure, public services, and so on. 2) There is a significant positive correlation between the share of the main drivers of farm income growth and the level of farm income. 3) There is a significant negative correlation between the stability of the driving structure of farm income growth and the growth rate of farm income. 4) There is spatiotemporal heterogeneity in the structure of farm income growth impulses within a given geographical area.
周滔, 黄冬月. 收入结构视角下农民收入增长动力的时空演化特征——以石漠化脱贫地区为例[J]. 人文地理, 2024, 39(1): 48-58.
ZHOU Tao, HUANG Dong-yue. THE SPATIOTEMPORAL EVOLUTIONARY CHARACTERISTICS OF FARMERS' INCOME GROWTH IMPETUS FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF INCOME STRUCTURE: A CASE STUDY OF ROCKY DESERTIFICATION POVERTY ALLEVIATION AREAS. HUMAN GEOGRAPHY, 2024, 39(1): 48-58.
Tang L, Sun S Y.Fiscal incentives, financial support for agriculture, and urban-rural inequality[J/OL].International Review of Financial Analysis, 2022,80:102057.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2022.102057.
[2]
王小华.中国农民收入结构的演化逻辑及其增收效应测度[J].西南大学学报(社会科学版),2019,45(5):67-77,198-199.[Wang Xiaohua.The evolutionary logic of Chinese farmers' income structure and measurement of their income growth effect[J].Journal of Southwest University (Social Sciences Edition), 2019, 45(5):67-77, 198-199.]
[3]
吴国松,姚升.要素市场扭曲背景下不同地域农民收入变动与结构优化研究[J].经济经纬,2021,38(1):48-56.[Wu Guosong, Yao Sheng.A study on the change and structure optimization of farmers' income in different regions under the distortion of factor market[J].Economic Survey, 2021,38(1):48-56.]
[4]
Chen W, Wang Q Z, Zhou H.Digital rural construction and farmers' income growth:Theoretical mechanism and micro experience based on data from China[J/OL].Sustainability, 2022,14(18):11679.https://doi.org/10.3390/su141811679.
[5]
Khanal A R, Mishra A K.Agritourism and off-farm work:Survival strategies for small farms[J].Agricultural Economics, 2014,45:65-76.
[6]
刘洋,颜华.县域金融集聚、农业机械化与农民收入增长——基于河南省县域面板数据的经验分析[J].农业技术经济,2021(12):60-75.[Liu Yang, Yan Hua.County financial agglomeration, agricultural mechanization and the growth of farmers' income:Empirical evidence based on the 105 counties in Henan Province[J].Journal of Agrotechnical Economics, 2021(12):60-75.]
[7]
Wang L S, Zhang F, Wang Z H, et al.The impact of rural infrastructural investment on farmers' income growth in China[J].China Agricultural Economic Review, 2022,14(1):202-219.
[8]
Li F, Feng S Y, Lu H L, et al.How do non-farm employment and agricultural mechanization impact on large-scale farming? A spatial panel data analysis from Jiangsu Province, China[J/OL].Land Use Policy, 2021, 107:105517.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2021.105517.
[9]
陈林生,黄莎,李贤彬.农业机械化对农民收入的影响研究——基于系统GMM模型与中介效应模型的实证分析[J].农村经济,2021(6):41-49.[Chen Linsheng, Huang Sha, Li Xianbin.Research on the impact of agricultural mechanization on farmers' income:Based on the empirical analysis of systematic GMM model and mediating effect model[J].Rural Economy, 2021(6):41-49.]
[10]
马远,龚新蜀.城镇化、财政支农与农民收入增加的关系[J].城市问题,2010(5):60-66.[Ma Yuan, Gong Xinshu.The relationship between urbanization, financial support to agriculture and the increase of farmers' income[J].Urban Problems, 2010(5):60-66.]
[11]
陈利,黄金辉.中国农村财政性公共服务投入与农民收入关系的计量分析[J].经济问题探索,2020(7):123-134.[Chen Li, Huang Jinhui.Quantitative analysis of the relationship between fiscal public service investment and farmers' income in rural China[J].Inquiry into Economic Issues, 2020(7):123-134.]
[12]
Chen L L, Peng J Q, Zhang Y B.Research on the impact of rural land transfer on non-farm employment of farm households:Evidence from Hubei Province, China[J/OL].International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 2022, 19(23):15587.https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph192315587.
[13]
Peng J Q, Zhao Z H, Liu D N.Impact of agricultural mechanization on agricultural production, income, and mechanism:Evidence from Hubei Province, China[J/OL].Frontiers in Environmental Science, 2022,10:838686.https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2022.838686.
[14]
郭军,张效榕,孔祥智.农村一二三产业融合与农民增收——基于河南省农村一二三产业融合案例[J].农业经济问题,2019(3):135-144.[Guo Jun, Zhang Xiaorong, Kong Xiangzhi.The convergence of primary, secondary and tertiary industries and farmers' income generation:One case study of convergence of primary, secondary and tertiary industries in rural areas of Henan Province[J].Issues in Agricultural Economy, 2019(3):135-144.]
[15]
曹菲,聂颖.产业融合、农业产业结构升级与农民收入增长——基于海南省县域面板数据的经验分析[J].农业经济问题,2021(8):28-41.[Cao Fei, Nie Ying.Industrial convergence, upgrading of agricultural industry structure and farmers' income increase:An empirical analysis of county panel data in Hainan Province[J].Issues in Agricultural Economy, 2021(8):28-41.]
[16]
Li Y L, Wang M X, Liao G K, et al.Spatial spillover effect and threshold effect of digital financial inclusion on farmers' income growth:Based on provincial data of China[J/OL].Sustainability, 2022,14(3):1838.https://doi.org/10.3390/su14031838.
[17]
Wang Y N, Xu Y J, Chen W H.Study on the relationship between agricultural credit, fiscal support, and farmers' income:Empirical analysis based on the PVAR model[J/OL].Sustainability, 2023, 15(4):3173.https://doi.org/10.3390/su15043173.
[18]
任晓红,但婷,侯新烁.农村交通基础设施建设的农民增收效应研究——来自中国西部地区乡镇数据的证据[J].西部论坛,2018, 28(5):37-49.[Ren Xiaohong, Dan Ting, Hou Xinshuo.The farmers' income growth effect of rural transportation infrastructure construction:Evidence from township data in western China[J].West Forum, 2018,28(5):37-49.]
[19]
Lu H Y, Zhao P J, Hu H Y, et al.Transport infrastructure and urbanrural income disparity:A municipal-level analysis in China[J/OL].Journal of Transport Geography, 2022,99:103292.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2022.103292.
[20]
孙一平,徐英博.互联网普及对中国居民收入分配的影响研究——基于CFPS数据的实证分析[J].宏观经济研究,2021(7):161-175.[Sun Yiping, Xu Yingbo.A study on the impact of Internet penetration on income distribution in China:Based on empirical analysis of CFPS data[J].Macroeconomics, 2021(7):161-175.]
[21]
Gao Y Y, Zang L Z, Sun J.Does computer penetration increase farmers' income? An empirical study from China[J].Telecommunications Policy, 2018,42(5):345-360.
[22]
Song J, Cai Y P, Wang Y H, et al.Health risk, income effect, and the stability of farmers' poverty alleviation in deep poverty areas:A case study of S-County in Qinba Mountain area[J/OL].International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 2022, 19(23):16048.https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph192316048.
[23]
彭妮娅.教育经费投入对贫困地区农民收入影响的实证[J].统计与决策,2021,37(3):67-70.[Peng Niya.Empirical study on the influence of educational investment on farmers' incomes in povertystricken regions[J].Statistics & Decision, 2021,37(3):67-70.]
[24]
Bouchakour R, Saad M.Farm and farmer characteristics and offfarm work:Evidence from Algeria[J].Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2020,64(2):455-476.
[25]
涂圣伟.面向共同富裕的农民增收长效机制构建[J].改革,2023(4):14-25.[Tu Shengwei.The construction of long-term mechanism for increasing farmers' income for common prosperity[J].Reform, 2023(4):14-25.]
[26]
Li Y C, Wang X P, Zhu Q S, et al.Assessing the spatial and temporal differences in the impacts of factor allocation and urbanization on urban-rural income disparity in China, 2004-2010[J].Habitat International, 2014,42:76-82.
[27]
潘文轩,王付敏.改革开放后农民收入增长的结构性特征及启示[J].西北农林科技大学学报(社会科学版),2018,18(3):2-11.[Pan Wenxuan, Wang Fumin.Structural characteristics and income growth of Chinese farmers and their enlightenment[J].Journal of Northwest A&F University (Social Science Edition), 2018,18(3):2-11.]
[28]
何蒲明.农民收入结构变化对农民种粮积极性的影响——基于粮食主产区与主销区的对比分析[J].农业技术经济,2020(1):130-142.[He Puming.The impact of the changes of farmers' income structure on farmers' enthusiasm for grain production:Based on the comparative analysis between main grain producing areas and main marketing areas[J].Journal of Agrotechnical Economics, 2020(1):130-142.]
[29]
罗良清,平卫英,单青松,等.中国贫困治理经验总结:扶贫政策能够实现有效增收吗?[J].管理世界,2022,38(2):70-83,115,5-8.[Luo Liangqing, Ping Weiying, Shan Qingsong, et al.Summary from China's poverty alleviation experience:Can poverty alleviation policies achieve effective income increase?[J].Journal of Management World, 2022,38(2):70-83,115,5-8.]
[30]
方方,何仁伟,李立娜.京津冀地区乡村振兴地域模式研究——基于乡村非农就业与农民增收的空间效应[J].地理研究,2019,38(3):699-712.[Fang Fang, He Renwei, Li Lina.Research of the regional mode of rural revitalization in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region:Based on the spatial effect between rural off-farm employment and farmers' income growth[J].Geographical Research, 2019,38(3):699-712.]
[31]
温涛,王佐滕.农村金融多元化促进农民增收吗?——基于农民创业的中介视角[J].农村经济,2021(1):94-103.[Wen Tao, Wang Zuoteng.Does rural financial diversification promote farmers' income? Based on the intermediary perspective of farmers' entrepreneurship[J].Rural Economy, 2021(1):94-103.]
[32]
马朝琦,刘传磊,李小娜.延安市农民收入可持续增长机制探析[J].人文地理,2010,25(3):96-99.[Ma Zhaoqi, Liu Chuanlei, Li Xiaona.A study on mechanism of sustainable growth of peasants' income in Yan'an[J].Human Geography, 2010,25(3):96-99.]
[33]
何丽芬,潘慧峰,林向红.中国城乡家庭财产性收入的二元特征及影响因素[J].管理世界,2011(9):168-169.[He Lifen, Pan Huifeng, Lin Xianghong.The dualistic characteristics of property income of urban and rural households in China and the factors influencing it[J].Journal of Management World, 2011(9):168-169.]
[34]
马历,龙花楼,戈大专,等.中国农区城乡协同发展与乡村振兴途径[J].经济地理,2018,38(4):37-44.[Ma Li, Long Hualou, Ge Dazhuan, et al.Research on the ways of urban-rural coordinated development and rural vitalization in the farming areas of China[J].Economic Geography, 2018,38(4):37-44.]
[35]
李进涛,刘彦随,杨园园,等.城镇化对农业农村的多维度影响——基于省际面板数据实证研究[J].人文地理,2019,34(3):137-145.[Li Jintao, Liu Yansui, Yang Yuanyuan, et al.Multi-dimensional influence of urbanization on agriculture-rural:An empirical study based on provincial panel data[J].Human Geography, 2019,34(3):137-145.]
[36]
杨彩林,李雯雅,曹秋菊.数字普惠金融、农户信贷供给与城乡收入差距[J].统计与决策,2022,38(12):130-135.[Yang Cailin, Li Wenya, Cao Qiuju.Digital inclusive finance, credit supply for rural household and urban-rural income gap[J].Statistics & Decision, 2022,38(12):130-135.]
[37]
潘竟虎,冯娅娅.中国农村深度贫困的空间扫描与贫困分异机制的地理探测[J].地理学报,2020,75(4):769-788.[Pan Jinghu, Feng Yaya.Spatial distribution of extreme poverty and mechanism of poverty differentiation in rural China based on spatial scan statistics and geographical detector[J].Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020,75(4):769-788.]
[38]
张英浩,汪明峰,刘婷婷.数字经济对中国经济高质量发展的空间效应与影响路径[J].地理研究,2022,41(7):1826-1844.[Zhang Yinghao, Wang Mingfeng, Liu Tingting.Spatial effect of digital economy on high-quality economic development in China and its influence path[J].Geographical Research, 2022,41(7):1826-1844.]
[39]
陈修颖,苗振龙.数字经济增长动力与区域收入的空间分布规律[J].地理学报,2021,76(8):1882-1894.[Chen Xiuying, Miao Zhenlong.Spatial distribution of digital economic growth dynamics and regional income[J].Acta Geographica Sinica, 2021,76(8):1882-1894.]