为深入探究黄河流域城乡区域协调发展路径，本研究基于人地协调理论，构建了“乡村振兴—新型城镇化—高质量发展”（RR-NU-HQD）三系统耦合协调概念模型与综合评价指标体系，综合运用耦合协调度模型、马尔可夫链及地理探测器等方法，对2010—2023年黄河流域9省区的协同演变及驱动机制展开分析。研究发现：①时序上，三系统发展指数稳步提升，耦合协调度由轻度失调（0.333）演进至基本协调（0.569），呈现“低水平、中协调、高增速”特征；②空间上，形成并固化了“下游强、上游弱”的梯度格局，省际差异显著，系统协调状态具有强稳定性并呈现向上转移趋势；③驱动机制由初期依赖经济增长与城市建设的单极驱动，逐步转向科技创新、对外开放、公共服务等多元协同驱动，资源禀赋、政府能力与产业结构呈正向影响，城乡结构与人口规模则呈负向影响。本研究为推进黄河流域分类治理与城乡可持续发展提供了理论依据与政策参考。

In order to conduct an in-depth investigation into the pathways for achieving coordinated development between urban and rural areas within the Yellow River Basin, this research constructs a conceptual model and a comprehensive evaluation index system for the coupling and coordination of the triple system encompassing Rural Revitalization (RR), New Urbanization (NU), and High-Quality Development (HQD), grounded in the theory of human-earth system coordination. Employing a suite of analytical methodologies— including the coupled coordination degree model, Markov chain analysis, and the geographical detector technique—this study meticulously examines the synergistic evolutionary trajectories and underlying driving mechanisms across nine provinces in the basin from 2010 to 2023. The principal findings are summarized as follows: 1) From a temporal perspective, the development indices of the RR, NU, and HQD systems have demonstrated a steady and consistent upward trend. 2) Spatially, a distinct and increasingly solidified gradient pattern characterized by "strength in the downstream regions and relative weakness in the upstream regions" has emerged. 3) Regarding the driving mechanisms, the primary mode of influence has undergone a notable transformation. It has evolved from an initial reliance on a unipolar drive, predominantly fueled by economic growth and urban construction, towards a more complex and robust multivariate synergistic drive.