社区环境对家庭二胎生育意愿的影响机制研究

翟宝昕; 刘峻嘉; 李思宇

doi:10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2026.03.005

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人文地理 ›› 2026, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (3) : 46-55. DOI: 10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2026.03.005

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社区环境对家庭二胎生育意愿的影响机制研究

翟宝昕, 刘峻嘉, 李思宇

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RESEARCH ON THE INFLUENCE MECHANISM OF COMMUNITY ENVIRONMENT ON FAMILY'S SECOND CHILD FERTILITY INTENTION

ZHAI Bao-xin, LIU Jun-jia, LI Si-yu

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摘要

放开限制性的生育政策并未扭转我国生育率持续走低的现状，这表明家庭二胎生育意愿受到多维因素的复杂影响。社区是家庭育儿生活的基本空间单元，但现有研究较少探索社区环境对家庭二胎生育意愿的影响。本研究基于西安市308个0—6岁儿童家庭的问卷调查数据，利用Logit模型和结构方程模型方法组织实证分析，旨在揭示社区环境对家庭二胎生育意愿的影响机制。结果发现：养育情绪是外部环境影响二胎生育意愿的中介要素。社区环境即直接影响养育情绪，也通过支持工作日的户外育儿行为缓解养育倦怠，进而间接影响二胎生育意愿。一个安全、舒适、设施丰富且提供友好服务的社区环境能够提高家庭的养育正向感受，减少养育倦怠，进而提高二胎生育意愿。

Abstract

The relaxation of restrictive fertility policies has not reversed the declining trend of fertility rates in China, indicating that family intentions to have a second child are shaped by a complex array of factors. This study explores the impact mechanism of the community environment on families' second-child willingness from four dimensions: environmental safety, environmental comfort, facility abundance, and service friendliness. Based on questionnaire survey data from 308 families with children aged 0—6 in Xi'an, this study employs binary and sequential Logit models and Structural Equation Modeling for empirical analysis. The results show that: 1) Families' second-child fertility intentions are significantly correlated with their parenting emotions. Positive parenting experiences significantly enhance second-child fertility intentions, while parenting burnout suppresses them; 2) Parenting emotions serve as a mediating factor in how external environments influence the intention to have a second child. 3) Community environment is of great significance for enhancing second-child fertility intentions. 4) Community environment also indirectly alleviates parenting burnout by supporting outdoor childcare activities on weekdays, with the accessibility of leisure and medical facilities and the child-participatory nature of community activities acting as key driving factors; 5) Family environment and individual circumstances are also crucial for improving second-child fertility intentions, especially the importance of work-family balance.

导出引用

翟宝昕, 刘峻嘉, 李思宇. 社区环境对家庭二胎生育意愿的影响机制研究[J]. 人文地理. 2026, 41(3): 46-55 https://doi.org/10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2026.03.005

ZHAI Bao-xin, LIU Jun-jia, LI Si-yu. RESEARCH ON THE INFLUENCE MECHANISM OF COMMUNITY ENVIRONMENT ON FAMILY'S SECOND CHILD FERTILITY INTENTION[J]. HUMAN GEOGRAPHY. 2026, 41(3): 46-55 https://doi.org/10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2026.03.005

中图分类号： TU98

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