生命历程与流动人口的落户意愿

田明; 崔钰雪; 初昱男; 杨溢; 颜梦雪

doi:10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2026.04.006

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人文地理 ›› 2026, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (4) : 53-61. DOI: 10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2026.04.006

人口流动与城乡发展专栏

生命历程与流动人口的落户意愿

田明¹, 崔钰雪², 初昱男¹, 杨溢¹, 颜梦雪²

作者信息 +

LIFE COURSE AND HUKOU SETTLEMENT INTENTION AMONG THE MIGRANT POPULATION

TIAN Ming¹, CUI Yu-xue², CHU Yu-nan¹, YANG Yi¹, YAN Meng-xue²

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文章历史 +

摘要

生命历程阶段通过关键事件深刻影响流动人口的迁移决策与落户意愿。本文基于生命历程的视角，分析了不同生命历程阶段流动人口落户意愿的变化及户籍类型和性别差异效应，研究发现：流动人口的落户意愿随年龄增长呈“上升—下降—再上升”的波动趋势；结婚和生育显著提升落户意愿，子女0—3岁时达到峰值，随子女年龄增长与教育阶段提升而逐步下降，老年阶段再次上升。女性流动人口的落户意愿整体高于男性，但波动更大；非农户籍流动人口落户意愿显著高于农业户籍群体。不同生命历程阶段流动人口落户意愿的变化是家庭结构转变、子女照料负担、子女不同教育阶段对户口的需求差异，以及流动人口自身公共服务需求变化等多重因素叠加影响的结果。

Abstract

Life-course stages shape migrants' decisions and their intention to obtain local hukou. From a lifecourse perspective, this study examines changes in hukou settlement intention among the migrant population and the mechanisms behind these changes, with particular attention to gender and hukou-status differences. Using regression models, the study finds that hukou settlement intention follows an age-related pattern of rising, declining, and rising again, reflecting how migrants' family-based decisions evolve across life-course stages. Marriage and childbirth significantly increase the intention to settle, with the effect peaking when children are aged 0-3. As children grow older and enter education stages, the intention gradually declines. Gender differences are also evident. Although female migrants generally show stronger hukou settlement intention than male migrants, their intention varies more substantially across the life course and shows a more pronounced decline in later stages. Hukou status further differentiates settlement intention: non-agricultural hukou holders show stronger intention than agricultural hukou holders, partly because of differences in life experience, familiarity with the destination city, and expected returns from local hukou. Overall, life-course changes in settlement intention reflect the combined effects of family-structure adjustment, childcare and education burdens, hukou-status differences, and migrants' demand for public services in destination areas.

导出引用

田明, 崔钰雪, 初昱男, 杨溢, 颜梦雪. 生命历程与流动人口的落户意愿[J]. 人文地理. 2026, 41(4): 53-61 https://doi.org/10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2026.04.006

TIAN Ming, CUI Yu-xue, CHU Yu-nan, YANG Yi, YAN Meng-xue. LIFE COURSE AND HUKOU SETTLEMENT INTENTION AMONG THE MIGRANT POPULATION[J]. HUMAN GEOGRAPHY. 2026, 41(4): 53-61 https://doi.org/10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2026.04.006

中图分类号： K901.2

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