数字经济对城市群经济韧性的影响研究

张学波; 耿宇; 孔媛媛; 韩家蓉

doi:10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2026.05.005

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人文地理 ›› 2026, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (5) : 43-54,192. DOI: 10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2026.05.005

城市

数字经济对城市群经济韧性的影响研究

张学波^1,2, 耿宇¹, 孔媛媛¹, 韩家蓉¹

作者信息 +

IMPACT OF THE DIGITAL ECONOMY ON ECONOMIC RESILIENCE OF URBAN AGGLOMERATIONS: AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS

ZHANG Xue-bo^1,2, GENG Yu¹, KONG Yuan-yuan¹, HAN Jia-rong¹

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摘要

发展数字经济势必带来城市群经济结构与内部城市间经济联系的重构，而数字经济能否对城市群经济韧性带来影响尚需检验和分析。本文基于2012—2022年中国19个城市群214个城市的面板数据，构建固定效应模型和中介效应模型探究了数字经济对城市群经济韧性的影响及作用路径。结果表明：①数字经济能显著提升城市群经济韧性，产业数字化的作用效果优于数字产业化。②中介效应模型显示，数字经济能通过技术创新、产业结构升级和城市群空间结构3条路径影响城市群经济韧性。③异质性分析表明，数字经济对城市群经济韧性的增强效应受城市群发展阶段、经济韧性水平和时间节点的影响。不同发展阶段的城市群在作用机制上存在显著差异。

Abstract

The digital economy is profoundly reshaping the economic structures of urban agglomerations and the intercity linkages within them. However, whether and how the digital economy influences the economic resilience of urban agglomerations remains to be empirically tested and analyzed. This study employs fixedeffects and mediation models to examine the impact of the digital economy on the economic resilience of urban agglomerations and to uncover the underlying mechanisms. The main findings are as follows: 1) The digital economy significantly enhances the economic resilience of urban agglomerations, with industrial digitization exerting a stronger effect than digital industrialization; 2) Mediation analysis indicates that the digital economy enhances economic resilience through three main channels: technological innovation, industrial structure upgrading, and the optimization of the spatial structure of urban agglomerations; 3) Heterogeneity analysis shows that the resilience-enhancing effect of the digital economy varies with the developmental stage of urban agglomerations, their initial level of economic resilience, and time. The effect is most pronounced in urban agglomerations undergoing optimization and upgrading, as well as those with moderate resilience levels. Moreover, the influence of the digital economy has intensified significantly since 2017. Urban agglomerations at different stages of development exhibit significant differences in the mechanisms through which the digital economy influences them.

导出引用

张学波, 耿宇, 孔媛媛, 韩家蓉. 数字经济对城市群经济韧性的影响研究[J]. 人文地理. 2026, 41(5): 43-54,192 https://doi.org/10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2026.05.005

ZHANG Xue-bo, GENG Yu, KONG Yuan-yuan, HAN Jia-rong. IMPACT OF THE DIGITAL ECONOMY ON ECONOMIC RESILIENCE OF URBAN AGGLOMERATIONS: AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS[J]. HUMAN GEOGRAPHY. 2026, 41(5): 43-54,192 https://doi.org/10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2026.05.005

中图分类号： K902

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