城乡融合发展背景下县域人口高质量发展与公共服务耦合协调

杨胜利; 刘金盼

doi:10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2026.05.013

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人文地理 ›› 2026, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (5) : 138-151. DOI: 10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2026.05.013

人口

城乡融合发展背景下县域人口高质量发展与公共服务耦合协调

杨胜利, 刘金盼

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COUPLING COORDINATION BETWEEN HIGH-QUALITY POPULATION DEVELOPMENT AND PUBLIC SERVICES IN COUNTY AREAS AGAINST THE BACKGROUND OF URBAN-RURAL INTEGRATION

YANG Sheng-li, LIU Jin-pan

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摘要

人口高质量发展是公共服务供给的重要反馈与驱动力，公共服务是人口高质量发展的坚实保障。本文基于县域数据，使用熵权法、耦合协调度函数和空间自相关分析法，探讨了2010－2020年我国县域人口高质量发展和公共服务的综合发展水平、相对发展度和耦合协调度的时空演变规律。结果表明： ①2010－2020年我国县域人口高质量发展水平和公共服务供给水平均呈持续提升态势但地区差距增大，二者空间格局“不一致性”凸显；②县域人口高质量发展水平和公共服务供给水平的耦合协调度呈现“高耦合、低协调”的空间特征，耦合协调类型以“濒临失调”“勉强协调”和“初级协调”为主；③县域人口高质量发展水平和公共服务供给水平的耦合协调度存在正向空间自相关性，且空间自相关性有所增强，以高－高集聚和低－低集聚类型为主，且各集聚类型分布相对集中。

Abstract

High-quality population development is an important feedback and driving force for the provision of public services, while public services serve as a solid guarantee for high-quality population development. Based on county-level data, this paper employs the entropy weight method, coupling coordination degree model, and spatial autocorrelation analysis to explore the spatiotemporal evolution laws of the comprehensive development level, relative development degree, and coupling coordination degree between high-quality population development and public services in China from 2010 to 2020. The results show that: 1) From 2010 to 2020, both county-level high-quality population development and public service provision levels in China exhibited a continuous upward trend; however, the "inconsistency" in their spatial patterns became increasingly prominent, accompanied by widening regional disparities. 2) The coupling coordination degree between the two systems demonstrated a spatial characteristic of "high coupling, low coordination," with the dominant coordination types being "on the verge of imbalance," "barely coordinated," and "primary coordination." 3) A positive and intensifying spatial autocorrelation was identified in the coupling coordination degree, which was predominantly characterized by high-high and low-low clustering types, with each aggregation type exhibiting a relatively concentrated geographical distribution.

导出引用

杨胜利, 刘金盼. 城乡融合发展背景下县域人口高质量发展与公共服务耦合协调[J]. 人文地理. 2026, 41(5): 138-151 https://doi.org/10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2026.05.013

YANG Sheng-li, LIU Jin-pan. COUPLING COORDINATION BETWEEN HIGH-QUALITY POPULATION DEVELOPMENT AND PUBLIC SERVICES IN COUNTY AREAS AGAINST THE BACKGROUND OF URBAN-RURAL INTEGRATION[J]. HUMAN GEOGRAPHY. 2026, 41(5): 138-151 https://doi.org/10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2026.05.013

中图分类号： K901.3

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