“百千万工程”背景下广东县域高速公路流要素的空间经济效应研究

doi:10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2025.02.015

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摘要 “百县千镇万村高质量发展工程”是广东高质量发展的头号工程和中国式现代化探索道路上的重要实践。随着基建提速和路网织密，高速公路成为县域经济运行的基础支撑。本研究聚焦广东县域地区，利用高速公路联网收费系统数据，通过复杂网络建模、地理加权岭回归等方法探索高速公路流要素对县域经济发展的空间效应。结论如下：①广东县域间车流规模整体较小，网络密度为0.7534，仅惠州市博罗县、江门市鹤山市、清远市英德市3个县域与其他县域实现了来往有向互联。县域节点的“脱钩断链”是影响全省交通流网络完整性的重要原因。②县域间交通联系松散，珠三角西侧县域交通流邻近扩散效应显著，东侧表现出中心扩散效应；粤东县域交通流网络分散为“汕潮揭都市圈”、汕尾两个子群；粤西县域交通流亦呈邻近扩散效应；粤北县域交通流网络呈现“多核心—小组团”格局，其枢纽县域多分布在边界地区。③回归分析显示，第三产业增加值、常住人口是影响广东全域经济发展的主要因素。高速公路交通流要素对县域经济的驱动作用相对有限且表现出空间非平稳性。湛江市下属县域，粤桂、粤湘和粤闽交界县域的经济发展受高速公路影响较大。

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	李苑君
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	吴旗韬
	杨昀昊

关键词 ：百千万工程, 县域经济, 高速公路流, 空间效应, 广东省

Abstract：The "High-Quality Development Project of Hundreds of Counties, Thousands of Towns, and Myriads of Villages" is an important practice in Guangdong to achieve high-quality development and to explore the path of Chinese-style modernization. Guided by the theory of network externality, this study focuses on the county areas of Guangdong province, and uses big data from the highway networked toll collection system to analyze the spatial flow law of traffic flow elements through complex network modeling and geographically weighted ridge regression. The study highlights the following observations: 1) Overall, the scale of traffic flow between counties in Guangdong Province is relatively small, leading to a low network density of 0.7534. 2) From a spatial perspective, the transportation links between counties are loose. 3) GWRR regression analysis reveals that the added value of the tertiary industry and the resident population are primary factors influencing the economic development of Guangdong.

Key words： "Hundreds-Thousands-Myriads" project county economy expressway traffic flows spatial effects Guangdong province

收稿日期: 2024-03-19

PACS:

K902

基金资助:国家自然科学基金项目（42301200，42071165）；广东省科学院打造综合产业技术创新中心行动资金项目（2023GDASZH-2023010101）

通讯作者: 吴旗韬(1982—),男,河南平顶山人,博士,研究员,主要研究方向为交通地理学。E-mail:wuqitao@gdas.ac.cn。 E-mail: wuqitao@gdas.ac.cn。

作者简介: 李苑君（1995—），女，湖北襄阳人，博士，助理研究员，主要研究方向为交通流动性与区域可持续发展。E-mail:geoliyuanjun@gdas.ac.cn。

引用本文:

李苑君, 沈堪海, 王如珂, 麦卓琳, 吴旗韬, 杨昀昊. “百千万工程”背景下广东县域高速公路流要素的空间经济效应研究[J]. 人文地理, 2025, 40(2): 150-159. LI Yuan-jun, SHEN Kan-hai, WANG Ru-ke, MAI Zhuo-lin, WU Qi-tao, YANG Yun-hao. SPATIAL ECONOMIC EFFECTS OF EXPRESSWAY FLOWS IN GUANGDONG PROVINCE UNDER THE BACKGROUND OF“HUNDREDS-THOUSANDS-MYRIADS”. HUMAN GEOGRAPHY, 2025, 40(2): 150-159.

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http://rwdl.xisu.edu.cn/CN/10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2025.02.015 或 http://rwdl.xisu.edu.cn/CN/Y2025/V40/I2/150

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