PERFORMANCE EVALUATION OF LOW-CARBON TRANSFORMATION AND INFLUENCE FACTORS ANALYSIS IN BOHAI RIM COASTAL CITIES
HAN Zeng-lin1, GUO Yuan-yuan1, WANG Ze-yu2, ZHANG Zhen2
.College of Urban and Environment, Liaoning Normal University, DaLian 116029, China;
2. Center for Studies of Marine Economy and Sustainable Development, Liaoning Normal University, Dalian 116029, China
Abstract：Based on the contents interpretation of low carbon transition, this article establishes an evaluation index system for low carbon transition of cities around the Bohai bay using panel data of 17 coastal cities around the Bohai bay from 2005 to 2012 The evaluation index system employs combination weighting approach based on integrated analysis to evaluate and study the aforementioned aspects and uses kernel density estimation model and geographic information system (GIS) spatial analysis to conduct spatiotemporal changing analysis of the results to reveal the internal changing rules. By doing so, the inherit variation rules are revealed, accompanying with the following conclusions: Firstly, from the macroscopic perspective, the performance of low carbon transition of coastal cities along Bohai bay from 2005 to 2012 was not getting obvious progress. Secondly, from the perspective divided by indexes, there was no great change of economic development of cities around the Bohai bay in spatial framework. Last but not the least, the spatial and temporal disparities of performances in low carbon transitions of cities around the Bohai bay were due to multiple reasons, including economic and social supporting factors such as capital, human resources and infrastructures etc.
Cheng F Lee, Sue J Lin, Lewis C, et al. Effects of carbontaxes on different industries by fuzzy goal programming: A case study of the petrochemical-related industries,Taiwan[J]. Energy Policy, 2007,35 (8):4051-4058.
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陈静,诸大建,程东祥.基于灰理想关联分析的中国城市低碳竞争 力评价[J].资源科学,2012,34(9):1726-1733. [Chen Jing, Zhu Dajian, Cheng Dongxiang. Evaluation of urban Low-Carbon competitiveness in China using grey relational analysisl[J]. Resources Science, 2012,34(9):1726-1733.]
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李婧,朱乘亮,安立仁.中国经济低碳转型绩效的历史变迁与地区 差异[J].中国软科学,2013(5):167-182. [Li Jing, Zhu Chengliang, An Liren. The fluctuation and regional difference of low carbon transition performance in China[J]. China Soft Science, 2013(5): 167-182.]
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[17]
陈捷.绩效评估研究的新进展[J].南京师范大学学报(社科版), 1997(3):81-85. [Chen Jie. New progress in the study of performance evaluation[J]. Journal Of NanJing Normal University(Social Science Enition), 1997(3):81-85.]
[28]
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[24]
韩瑞玲,佟连军,佟伟铭,等.基于集对分析的鞍山市人地系统脆弱 性评估[J].地理科学进展,2012,31(3):344-352. [Han Ruiling, Tong Lianjun, Tong Weiming, et al. Research on vulnerability assessment of human-land system of Anshan city based on set pair analysis. Progress in Geography, 2012,31(3):344-352.]
[18]
国涓,刘丰,王维国.中国区域环境绩效动态差异及影响因素—— 考虑可变规模报酬和技术异质性的研究[J].资源科学,2013,35 (12):2444-2456. [Guo Juan, Liu Feng, Wang Weiguo. Dynamic differences and factors affecting regional environmental performance in China: Variable return to scale and technology heterogeneity[J]. Resources Science, 2013,35(12):2444-2456.]
叶阿忠.非参数计量经济学[M].天津:南开大学出版社,2003:5-28.[Ye Azhong. Noparametric Econnometrics[M]. Tianjin: Nankai University Press, 2003:5-28.]
[19]
曹芳东,黄震方,吴江,等.转型期城市旅游业绩效评价及空间格局 演化机理——以泛长三角洲地区为例[J].自然资源学报,2013,28 (1):148-159. [Cao Fangdong,Huang Zhenfang, Wu Jiang, et al. Evaluation on urban tourism industry performance and formation mechanism of pattern evolution during the transition period: A case study of the Pan-Yangtze River Delta[J]. Journal of Natural Resources, 2013,28(1):148-159.]
[26]
高铁梅.计量经济分析方法与建模Eviews 应用及实例[M].北京:清 华大学出版社,2006:305-392. [Gao Tiemei. The Methods of Economic Analysis and Modeling of Eviews Applications and Examples[M]. Bei Jing: TsingHua University Press, 2006:305-392.]
[20]
曹瑞芬,蔡银莺,张安录,等.中国土地用途管制绩效的时空差异性 分析[J].资源科学,2013,35(6):1125-1133. [Cao Ruifen, Cai Yinying, Zhang Anlu, et al. Spatial-temporal differences of land use control performance in China[J]. Resources Science, 2013,35(6): 1125-1133.]
[27]
胡鞍钢.考虑环境因素的省级技术效率排名(1999—2005)[J].经济 学( 季刊),2008,7(3):943. [Hu Angang. Provincial technology efficiency ranking with environment factors(1999—2005) [J]. China Economic Quarterly, 2008,7(3):943.]
[21]
郑美群.高技术企业绩效评价指标体系的构建研究[J].科学学与 科学技术管理,2004,25(7):68-72. [Zheng Meiqun. Research on the construction of index system of performance evaluation of high tech enterprises[J]. Science of Science and Management of S. & T, 2004,25(7):68-72.]
[28]
冯之浚,周荣.低碳经济:中国实现绿色发展的根本途径[J].中国人 口·资源与环境,2010,20(4):1-7. [Feng Zhijun, Zhou Rong. Low carbon economy: A basic path to green development[J]. China Population, Resources and Environment, 2010,20(4):1-7.]
[22]
邵磊,陈郁,张树深.基于AHP和熵权的跨界突发性大气环境风险 源模糊综合评价[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2010,20(3):135-138.[Shao Lei, Chen Yu, Zhang Shushen. Fuzzy synthetic evaluation of cross border atmospheric environment risk source based on entropy and AHP[J]. China Population, Resources and Environment, 2010, 20(3):135-138.]
