SPATIAL VARIATION OF LAND URBANIZATION IN JIANGSU AND DOMINANT DRIVERS
LV Li-gang1,2, SUI Xue-yan3, WANG Xiang4, ZHOU Bing-bing5, Sun Yan1, LI Yong-le1
1. School of Public Administration, Nanjing University of Finance & Economics, Nanjing 210023, China;
2. Key Laboratory of Coastal Zone Exploitation and Protection, Ministry of Land and Resource, Nanjing 210024, China;
3. Jiangsu Institute for Land Development and Consolidation, Nanjing 210017, China;
4. College of Land Management, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, China;
5. School of Sustainability, Arizona State University, Tempe AZ 85281, USA
Abstract:A prerequisite for implementing China's New Type Urbanization is the comprehensive understanding of land urbanization's characteristics and underlying mechanisms. In this regard, a major challenge is how to identify the dominant drivers of land urbanization for targeted management. Adding to existing approaches (e.g., qualitative analysis, univariate regression and econometric modeling) that are not sufficient enough to addressing the spatial dimension of land urbanization, the present study adopted a multi-method approach that combines geo-spatial auto-correlation analysis, optimized hot/cold spot analysis and geo-detector analysis. The methodology was demonstrated through a county-scale case study of Jiangsu Province in the economically developed eastern China, by using fairly accessible land use change cadastral data and socioeconomic data.
吕立刚, 隋雪艳, 汪翔, 周兵兵, 孙燕, 李永乐. 江苏省土地城镇化的空间分异及其主导因素探测[J]. 人文地理, 2018, 33(4): 88-94,112.
LV Li-gang, SUI Xue-yan, WANG Xiang, ZHOU Bing-bing, Sun Yan, LI Yong-le. SPATIAL VARIATION OF LAND URBANIZATION IN JIANGSU AND DOMINANT DRIVERS. HUMAN GEOGRAPHY, 2018, 33(4): 88-94,112.
曹广忠,刘涛.中国城镇化地区贡献的内陆化演变与解释——基于1982-2008年省区数据的分析[J].地理学报,2011,66(12):1631-1643.[Cao Guangzhong, Liu Tao. Rising role of inland regions in China's urbanization in the 21st century:The new trend and its explanation[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2011,66(12):1631-1643.]
[2]
薛德升,曾献君.中国人口城镇化质量评价及省际差异分析[J].地理学报,2016,71(2):194-204.[Xue Desheng, Zeng Xianjun. Evaluation of China's urbanization quality and analysis of its spatial pattern transformation based on the modern life index[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2016,71(2):194-204.]
[3]
陆大道,陈明星.关于"国家新型城镇化规划(2014-2020)" 编制大背景的几点认识[J].地理学报,2015,70(2):179-185.[Lu Dadao, Chen Mingxing. Several viewpoints on the background of compiling the "National New Urbanization Planning (2014-2020)"[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2015,70(2):179-185.]
[23]
Getis A, Ord J K. The analysis of spatial association by use of distance statistics[J]. Geographical Analysis, 1992,24(3):189-206.
[4]
吕添贵,吴次芳,李洪义,等.人口城镇化与土地城镇化协调性测度及优化——以南昌市为例[J].地理科学,2016,36(2):239-246.[Lv Tiangui, Wu Cifang, Li Hongyi, et al. The coordination and its optimization about population and land of urbanization:A case study of Nanchang city[J]. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2016,36(2):239-246.]
刘耀林,李纪伟,侯贺平,等.湖北省城乡建设用地城镇化率及其影响因素[J].地理研究,2014,33(1):132-142.[Liu Yaolin, Li Jiwei, Hou Heping, et al. Study on urbanization rate of urban-rural construction land and its influencing factors:A case study of Hubei province[J]. Geographical Research, 2014,33(1):132-142.]
[26]
刘彦随,杨忍.中国县域城镇化的空间特征与形成机理[J].地理学报,2012,67(8):1011-1020.[Liu Yansui, Yang Ren. The spatial characteristics and formation mechanism of the county urbanization in China[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2012,67(8):1011-1020.]
[6]
朱凤凯,张凤荣,李灿,等.1993-2008年中国土地与人口城市化协调度及区域差异[J].地理科学进展,2014,33(5):647-656.[Zhu Fengkai, Zhang Fengrong, Li Can, et al. Coordination and regional difference of urban land expansion and demographic urbanization in China during 1993-2008[J]. Progress in Geography, 2014,33(5):647-656.]
[7]
张飞,孔伟.我国土地城镇化的时空特征及机理研究[J].地域研究与开发,2014,33(5):144-148.[Zhang Fei, Kong Wei. Analysis on spatio-temporal characteristic and influence mechanism of land urbanization in China[J]. Areal Research and Development, 2014,33(5):144-148.]
[8]
范进,赵定涛.土地城镇化与人口城镇化协调性测定及其影响因素[J].经济学家,2012(5):61-67.[Fan Jin, Zhao Dingtao. Coordination testing and influence factors of land urbanization and population urbanization[J]. Economist, 2012(5):61-67.]
[27]
夏依,郭传辉.土地财政的影响因素及其实证——基于江苏的经验数据[J].金融与经济,2012(9):43-46.[Xia Yi, Guo Chuanhui. An empirical analysis of influencing factors of land finance:Based on the empirical data of Jiangsu Province[J]. Journal of Finance and Economics, 2012(9):43-46.]
[9]
潘竟虎,石培基,董晓峰.中国地级以上城市腹地的测度分析[J].地理学报,2008,63(6):635-645.[Pan Jinghu, Shi Peiji, Dong Xiaofeng. Measurements for urban hinterland area of cities at prefecture level or above in China[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2008,63(6):635-645.]
[28]
李尚蒲,罗必良.城乡收入差距与城市化战略选择[J].农业经济问题,2012(8):37-42.[Li Shangpu, Luo Biliang. Urban-Rural income gap and the strategic choice of urbanization[J]. Issues in Agricultural Economy, 2012(8):37-42.]
[10]
刘彦随,刘玉,翟荣新.中国农村空心化的地理学研究与整治实践[J].地理学报,2009,64(10):1193-1202.[Liu Yansui, Liu Yu, Zhai Rongxin. Geographical research and optimizing practice of rural hollowing in China[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2009,64(10):1193-1202.]
[11]
Lin X Q, Wang Y, Wang S J, et al. Spatial differences and driving forces of land urbanization in China[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2015,25(5):545-558.
[12]
唐莹,王玉波.土地财政驱动农村建设用地入市程度及区域调控政策[J].经济地理,2016,36(2):167-175.[Tang Ying, Wang Yubo. Regional disparity of how land finance give impetus to rural residential land market transfer and its regulation policy[J]. Economic Geography, 2016,36(2):167-175.]
[13]
田莉.我国城镇化进程中喜忧参半的土地城市化[J].城市规划, 2011,35(2):11-12.[Tian Li. Urbanization of land in urbanization process of China:Boon or bane?[J]. City Planning Review, 2011,35(2):11-12.]
[14]
刘吉军,许实,马贤磊,等.土地非农化过程中的博弈关系[J].中国土地科学,2010,24(6):56-61.[Liu Jijun, Xu Shi, Ma Xianlei, et al. Analysis on the game-theory relationships within the process of land conversion for non-agricultural use[J]. China Land Science, 2010,24(6):56-61.]
[15]
吕萍,周滔,张正峰,等.土地城市化及其度量指标体系的构建与应用[J].中国土地科学,2008,22(8):24-28.[Lv Ping, Zhou Tao, Zhang Zhengfeng, et al. Construction and application of land urbanization and corresponding measurement index system[J]. China Land Science, 2008,22(8):24-28.]
[16]
王洋,王少剑,秦静.中国城市土地城市化水平与进程的空间评价[J].地理研究,2014,33(12):2228-2238.[Wang Yang, Wang Shaojian, Qin Jing. Spatial evaluation of land urbanization level and process in Chinese cities[J]. Geographical Research, 2014,33(12):2228-2238.]
[17]
刘欢,邓宏兵,李小帆.长江经济带人口城镇化与土地城镇化协调发展时空差异研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2016,26(5):160-166.[Liu Huan, Deng Hongbing, Li Xiaofan. Research on the spatial and temporal difference of coordinated development between population urbanization and land urbanization in Yangtze River economic belt[J]. China Population, Resources and Environment, 2016, 26(5):160-166.]
[18]
陈凤桂,张虹鸥,吴旗韬,等.我国人口城镇化与土地城镇化协调发展研究[J]. 人文地理,2010,25(5):53-58.[Chen Fenggui, Zhang Hongou, Wu Qitao, et al. A study on coordinate development between population urbanization and land urbanization in China[J]. Human Geography, 2010,25(5):53-58.]
[19]
俞振宁,吴次芳.基于ESDA-GWR的浙江省土地城镇化空间特征及影响因素分析[J].中国土地科学,2016,30(03):29-36.[Yu Zhenning, Wu Cifang. Analysis on spatial characteristics and influence factors of land urbanization from the perspective of ESDA-GWR in Zhejiang province[J]. China Land Science, 2016,30(3):29-36.]
[20]
李昕,文婧,林坚.土地城镇化及相关问题研究综述[J].地理科学进展,2012,31(8):1042-1049.[Li Xin, Wen Jing, Lin Jian. Review of research on land urbanization and related studies[J]. Progress in Geography, 2012,31(8):1042-1049.]
[21]
Anselin L. Local indicators of spatial association-LISA[J]. Geographical Analysis, 1995,27(2):93-115.
[22]
刘浩,马琳,李国平.京津冀地区经济发展冷热点格局演化及其影响因素[J]. 地理研究,2017,36(1):97-108.[Liu Hao, Ma Lin, Li Guoping. Pattern evolution and its contributory factor of cold spots and hot spots of economic development in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region[J]. Geographical Research, 2017,36(1):97-108.]
[23]
Getis A, Ord J K. The analysis of spatial association by use of distance statistics[J]. Geographical Analysis, 1992,24(3):189-206.
刘耀林,李纪伟,侯贺平,等.湖北省城乡建设用地城镇化率及其影响因素[J].地理研究,2014,33(1):132-142.[Liu Yaolin, Li Jiwei, Hou Heping, et al. Study on urbanization rate of urban-rural construction land and its influencing factors:A case study of Hubei province[J]. Geographical Research, 2014,33(1):132-142.]
[26]
刘彦随,杨忍.中国县域城镇化的空间特征与形成机理[J].地理学报,2012,67(8):1011-1020.[Liu Yansui, Yang Ren. The spatial characteristics and formation mechanism of the county urbanization in China[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2012,67(8):1011-1020.]
[27]
夏依,郭传辉.土地财政的影响因素及其实证——基于江苏的经验数据[J].金融与经济,2012(9):43-46.[Xia Yi, Guo Chuanhui. An empirical analysis of influencing factors of land finance:Based on the empirical data of Jiangsu Province[J]. Journal of Finance and Economics, 2012(9):43-46.]
[28]
李尚蒲,罗必良.城乡收入差距与城市化战略选择[J].农业经济问题,2012(8):37-42.[Li Shangpu, Luo Biliang. Urban-Rural income gap and the strategic choice of urbanization[J]. Issues in Agricultural Economy, 2012(8):37-42.]