COVID-19疫情对中国节日人口城际出行影响研究

doi:10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2022.02.017

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摘要论文基于百度迁徙数据，对比 2020 年与2019年中国清明节、劳动节、国庆节3个重要节日人口城际流动差异，探讨 COVID-19 疫情对中国节日人口城际出行影响。研究指出：①2020年清明节、五一劳动节百度迁徙日均人口城际流动强度分别较2019年同期下降50.1%和45.2%，同时影响程度存在显著的空间差异；②2020年劳动节、国庆节百度迁徙日均人口城际流动强度指数分别较同年前一个节日增加了17.7%和36.7%，人口出行网络的路径权重、紧密性在持续增加。其中劳动节分析表明，疫情影响下人们倾向于短途出行，同时目的地选择更加多元化；③2020年4月份以哈尔滨市为主的局部疫情复发导致黑龙江省人口城际流入、流出水平分别下降 0.360 个单位和0.365个单位，同时对周边地区人口出行存在负向扩散影响。

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	赵梓渝
	赵世瑶
	韩钟辉
	刘璐
	贾聚慧
	王士君

关键词 ：人口流动, 城际出行, 节日出行, 时空变化, COVID-19

Abstract：Based on migration data from Baidu, the study compares the difference in population flow between 2020 and 2019 during three important Chinese festivals, i.e., Qingming Festival, Labor Day, and National Day, and explores the influence of the COVID-19 pandemic on the population travelling between cities during these festivals. The study first points out that the COVID-19 pandemic had a significant impact on such travel. On the Qingming Festival and Labor Day in 2020, the average daily population flow intensity, according to Baidu, decreased by 50.1% and 45.2%, respectively, compared with the same periods in 2019, and there were significant spatial differences in this effect. Second, this study argues that the flow intensity of the population travelling between cities showed a trend of recovery. Meanwhile, the weight and compactness of the population travel network continued to increase. Within this pattern, intercity travel on Labor Day showed recovery in average intensity, but a reduction in average distance, and an increase in network modularity index, indicating that under the influence of the COVID-19 pandemic, people tended to travel short distances, and they were more diversified in destination selection. Finally, this study proposes that the recurrence of local epidemics will have a significant impact on the travel intensity of the population during Chinese festivals in the short term.

Key words： population flow intercity travel holiday travel time and space changes COVID-19

收稿日期: 2021-02-08

PACS:

K901

基金资助:国家自然科学基金项目（41630749，42001176）；教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目（20YJCZH241）；山东省自然科学基金青年项目（ZR2020QD009）

通讯作者: 王士君（1963—），男，黑龙江延寿人，博士，教授，博士生导师，主要研究方向为经济地理学和城市地理学。E-mail:wangsj@nenu.edu.cn。 E-mail: wangsj@nenu.edu.cn。

作者简介: 赵梓渝（1986—），男，吉林长春人，博士，讲师，硕士生导师，主要研究方向为城市网络与人口流动。E-mail:171462539@qq.com。

引用本文:

赵梓渝, 赵世瑶, 韩钟辉, 刘璐, 贾聚慧, 王士君. COVID-19疫情对中国节日人口城际出行影响研究[J]. 人文地理, 2022, 37(2): 141-149,172. ZHAO Zi-yu, ZHAO Shi-yao, HAN Zhong-hui, LIU Lu, JIA Ju-hui, WANG Shi-jun. THE IMPACT OF THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC ON INTERCITY TRAVEL DURING CHINESE FESTIVALS. HUMAN GEOGRAPHY, 2022, 37(2): 141-149,172.

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http://rwdl.xisu.edu.cn/CN/10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2022.02.017 或 http://rwdl.xisu.edu.cn/CN/Y2022/V37/I2/141

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