流动人口租房消费的空间格局及影响因素

柴康妮; 王宇凡; 冯长春

doi:10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2024.02.009

PDF(4035 KB)

人文地理 ›› 2024, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (2) : 82-95. DOI: 10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2024.02.009

人口

流动人口租房消费的空间格局及影响因素

柴康妮¹, 王宇凡², 冯长春²

作者信息 +

SPATIAL PATTERN AND INFLUENCING FACTORS OF RENTAL HOUSING CONSUMPTION OF MIGRANTS

CHAI Kang-ni¹, WANG Yu-fan², FENG Chang-chun²

Author information +

文章历史 +

摘要

随着“租购并举”住房制度的确立，如何满足流动人口租房需求成为实现新型城镇化的关键。基于金额、压力、意愿、差距四项指标从不同维度评价流动人口租房消费水平，运用GIS空间统计工具考察其在全国283个城市间的空间格局，通过多层线性模型从城市和个体两个层面识别流动人口租房消费水平影响因素。研究发现:我国流动人口租房消费水平整体偏低，金额少、压力轻、意愿低、与城市租房市场差距大，城市间分布呈现显著空间分异，综合水平高的城市集聚于苏鲁豫皖交界地区，综合水平低的城市集聚于东南沿海大城市带；流动人口租房消费主要受流动距离、落户意愿、社会融合程度等个体属性影响，流入城市在人口结构、公共服务、住房成本等方面的特征通过改变购房意愿和能力而影响个体属性对租房消费水平的作用；优越的公共服务和外来者友好的社会氛围使有购房意愿的流动人口节省租房开支；高房价使有落户意愿、社会融合程度高的流动人口将消费重心转向租房，使跨省流动人口在租房消费上更趋保守谨慎。

Abstract

With the establishment of a housing system which emphasizes both renting and buying, how to meet the demand of internal migrants for rental housing becomes the key to realize the new urbanization. Based on the four indicators of amount, pressure, willingness and gap, we evaluated the rental housing consumption level of migrants from different dimensions, examined its spatial pattern among 283 cities, and identified influencing factors at both city and individual levels through hierarchical linear models. It is found that the overall level of rental housing consumption of migrants is low, with a small amount of rent, light pressure and low willingness of migrants, and a large gap with the formal rental housing market. There are significant spatial differences in the distribution among cities. Cities with high and low levels of rental consumption are gathered in Jiangsu-Shandong-Henan-Anhui junction areas and the urban agglomerations along the south-eastern coasts, respectively. The rental housing consumption level of migrants is mainly affected by their personal attributes such as migration distance, willingness to obtain hukou, and the degree of social integration. The characteristics of cities in terms of demographic structure, public services and housing costs influence the effects of the above-mentioned individual attributes on rental housing consumption level by changing the willingness and ability of migrants to purchase housing.

导出引用

柴康妮, 王宇凡, 冯长春. 流动人口租房消费的空间格局及影响因素[J]. 人文地理. 2024, 39(2): 82-95 https://doi.org/10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2024.02.009

CHAI Kang-ni, WANG Yu-fan, FENG Chang-chun. SPATIAL PATTERN AND INFLUENCING FACTORS OF RENTAL HOUSING CONSUMPTION OF MIGRANTS[J]. HUMAN GEOGRAPHY. 2024, 39(2): 82-95 https://doi.org/10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2024.02.009

中图分类号： K901.3

参考文献

[1] Li B, Zhang Y. Housing provision for rural-urban migrant workers in Chinese cities:The roles of the state, employers and the market[J]. Social Policy&Administration, 2011,45(6):694-713.
[2] Shen Y. Why does the government fail to improve the living condi-tions of migrant workers in Shanghai?Reflections on the policies and the implementations of public rental housing under neoliberal-ism[J]. Asia&the Pacific Policy Studies, 2015,2(1):58-74.
[3] Wong D F K, Li C, Song H. Rural migrant workers in urban China:Living a marginalised life[J]. International Journal of Social Wel-fare, 2007,16(1):32-40.
[4] 曼昆.经济学原理(第7版):微观经济学分册[M].北京:北京大学出版社, 2015:471-472.[Mankiw N G. Principles of Economics (7th Edition):Microeconomics[M]. Beijing:Peking University Press, 2015:471-472.]
[5] Keynes J M. The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money[M]. London:Macmillan, 1936:77-116.
[6] Duesenberry J S. Income, Saving and the Theory of Consumer Be-haviour[M]. Cambridge, MA:Harvard University Press, 1949:1-128.
[7] Modigliani F, Brumberg R. Utility Analysis and the Consumption Function:An Interpretation of Cross-Section Data[M]//Kurihara K K. Post-Keynesian Economics. New Brunswick, NJ:Rutgers Uni-versity Press, 1954:388-436.
[8] Friedman M. A Theory of the Consumption Function[M]. Princeton, NJ:Princeton University Press, 1957:1-243.
[9] Albert C, Monras, J. Immigrants'Residential Choices and Their Con-sequences[R/OL]. Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) Discussion Papers No. 11075, 2017[2023-03-30]. https://www.econstor.eu/bit-stream/10419/173985/1/dp11075.pdf.
[10] Nziramasanga M, Yoder J. The check in the mail:Household char-acteristics and migrant remittance from the US to Mexico[J]. Ap-plied Economics, 2013,45(8):1055-1073.
[11] Auer D, Bonoli G, Fossati F, et al. The matching hierarchies model:Evidence from a survey experiment on employers'hiring intent re-garding immigrant applicants[J]. International Migration Review, 2019,53(1):90-121.
[12] Scott J, Hale J M, Padilla Y C. Immigration status and farmwork:Understanding the wage and income gap across us policy and economic eras, 1989-2016[J]. Population Research and Policy Re-view, 2021,40(5):861-893.
[13] 周滔,吕萍.农民工住房的消费特征与供应策略[J].建筑经济,2011(3):85-88.[Zhou Tao, Lv Ping. The characteristics of migrant workers'housing consumption and supply strategy[J]. Construction Economy, 2011(3):85-88.]
[14] 朱祥波,谭术魁,王斯亮,等.城市流动人口的住房选择:事实与解释[J].南方人口,2015,30(3):35-44.[Zhu Xiangbo, Tan Shukui, Wang Siliang, et al. Housing choice of migrant population in China:Facts and explanation[J]. South China Population, 2015,30(3):35-44.]
[15] Wang Y. Living conditions of migrants in inland Chinese cities[J]. Journal of Comparative Asian Development, 2003,2(1):47-69.
[16] 林李月,朱宇,梁鹏飞,等.基于六普数据的中国流动人口住房状况的空间格局[J].地理研究,2014,33(5):887-898.[Lin Liyue, Zhu Yu, Liang Pengfei, et al. The spatial patterns of housing conditions of the floating population in China based on the sixth census data[J]. Geographical Research, 2014,33(5):887-898.]
[17] 李庭竹,刘冉.流动人口租房压力的空间分异及机理分析[J].地域研究与开发,2020,39(2):163-168,180.[Li Tingzhu, Liu Ran. Spa-tial distribution and mechanism analysis of rental housing afford-ability of migrant population[J]. Areal Research and Development, 2020,39(2):163-168,180.]
[18] 李在军,尹上岗,张晓奇,等.中国城市流动人口房租收入比时空格局及驱动因素[J].地理科学,2020,40(1):103-111.[Li Zaijun, Yin Shanggang, Zhang Xiaoqi, et al. The spatial-temporal evolution and driving factors of floating population's rent income ratio in prefec-tural city of China[J]. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2020,40(1):103-111.]
[19] 董昕,张翼.农民工住房消费的影响因素分析[J].中国农村经济, 2012(10):37-48.[Dong Xin, Zhang Yi. Analysis on the influencing factors of migrant workers'housing consumption[J]. Chinese Rural Economy, 2012(10):37-48.] [20《]我国农民工工作"十二五"发展规划纲要研究》课题组.中国农民工问题总体趋势:观测"十二五"[J].改革,2010(8):5-29.[Group of a research on the outline of the twelfth five-year plan for Chi-nese migrant workers. The general trend of chinese migrant work-ers:Viewing the twelfth five-year plan[J]. Reform, 2010(8):5-29.]
[21] 张智.北京市农民工住房选择行为及其影响因素分析[J].建筑经济,2010(1):5-8.[Zhang Zhi. Analysis of migrant workers'housing choice behavior and its influencing factors in Beijing[J]. Construc-tion Economy, 2010(1):5-8.]
[22] 王宗萍,邹湘江.新生代流动人口住房状况研究——兼与老生代的比较[J].中国青年研究,2013(8):9-15.[Wang Zongping, Zou Xiangjiang. Research on housing conditions of new generation float-ing population and comparison with the old generation[J]. China Youth Study, 2013(8):9-15.]
[23] 林存贞,林李月,朱宇,等.跨地区生计视角下流动人口在流出地住房投资行为的时空特征[J].人文地理,2018,33(4):43-51.[Lin Cun-zhen, Lin Liyue, Zhu Yu, et al. The time-space patterns of the mi-grants'housing investment behavior in their origin places under the perspective of multi-locational livelihood[J]. Human Geography, 2018,33(4):43-51.]
[24] 张品,林晓珊.制度与观念:城镇化与农民工家庭的住房消费选择[J].青年研究,2014(2):62-72.[Zhang Pin, Lin Xiaoshan. Institution and idea:Urbanization and the housing consumption choice of ru-ral families[J]. Youth Studies, 2014(2):62-72.]
[25] 周明海,金樟峰.长期居住意愿对流动人口消费行为的影响[J].中国人口科学,2017(5):110-119.[Zhou Minghai, Jin Zhangfeng. How does migrants'willingness of long-term stay affect their consuming behavior[J]. Chinese Journal of Population Science, 2017(5):110-119.]
[26] Wang Z, Liu J, Ming J. Owned a house in an urban destination or made housing investments in the hometown?Determinants of rural migrants'housing attainments in China[J]. Housing Policy Debate, 2020,30(3):348-369.
[27] 罗晰文.西方消费理论发展演变研究[D].东北财经大学,2014:69-71.[Luo Xiwen. Study on Evolution of Western Consumption Theory[D]. Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, 2014:69-71.]
[28] 惠炜.试论消费平滑理论的历史演进[J].福建论坛(人文社会科学版),2016(9):34-40.[Hui Wei. On the historical evolution of consumption smoothing theory[J]. Fujian Tribune (The Humanities&So-cial Sciences Monthly), 2016(9):34-40.]
[29] 翟天昶,胡冰川.消费习惯形成理论研究述评[J].经济评论,2017(2):138-149.[Zhai Tianchang, Hu Bingchuan. Review of habit formation theory in consumption[J]. Economic Review, 2017(2):138-149.]
[30] Fisher L M, Pollakowski H O, Zabel J. Amenity-based housing af-fordability indexes[J]. Real Estate Economics, 2009,37(4):705-746.
[31] Li K, Qin Y, Wu J. Recent housing affordability in urban China:A comprehensive overview[J]. China Economic Review, 2020,59:101362.
[32] 王沙.家庭分离与农民工家庭消费选择的研究[D].清华大学,2014:26-27.[Wang Sha. Separation and Consumption Choices in Rural Migrate Workers'Family[D]. Tsinghua University, 2014:26-27.]
[33] Chen X. Why do migrant households consume so little?[J]. China Economic Review, 2018,49:197-209.
[34] Chen B, Lu M, Zhong N. How urban segregation distorts Chinese migrants'consumption?[J]. World Development, 2015,70:133-146.
[35] Kemeny J. The Myth of Home Ownership:Private Versus Public Choices Iin Housing Tenure[M]. London:Routledge, 1981:1-179.
[36] Kemeny J. "The really big trade-off" between home ownership and welfare:Castles'evaluation of the 1980 thesis, and a reformulation 25 years on[J]. Housing, Theory and Society, 2005,22(2):59-75.
[37] 杨菊华.人口流动与居住分离:经济理性抑或制度制约?[J].人口学刊,2015,37(1):26-40.[Yang Juhua. Migration and living apart in china:Economic rationality vs institutional barriers[J]. Population Journal, 2015,37(1):26-40.]
[38] 杨菊华.制度要素与流动人口的住房保障[J].人口研究,2018, 42(1):60-75.[Yang Juhua. Housing source of migrants and its asso-ciated factors[J]. Population Research, 2018,42(1):60-75.]
[39] 李强,刘精明,郑路.城镇化与国内移民:理论与研究议题[M].北京:社会科学文献出版社,2015:50-70.[Li Qiang, Liu Jingming, Zheng Lu. Urbanization and Internal Migration[M]. Beijing:Social Sciences Academic Press (China), 2015:50-70.]
[40] 肖子华,徐水源.人口流动与社会融合:理论、指标与方法[M].北京:社会科学文献出版社,2018:17-77.[Xiao Zihua, Xu Shuiyuan. Floating Population and Social Integration:Theory, Index and Method[M]. Beijing:Social Sciences Academic Press (China), 2018:17-77.]
[41] Clark W A V, Deurloo M C, Dieleman F M. Tenure changes in the context of micro level family and macro level economic shifts[J]. Urban Studies, 1994,31(1):131-154.
[42] Huang Youqin, Clark W A V. Housing tenure choice in transitional urban China:A multilevel analysis[J]. Urban Studies, 2002,39(1):7-32.
[43] Austin PC, Merlo J. Intermediate and advanced topics in multilevel logistic regression analysis[J]. Statistics in Medicine, 2017,36(20):3257-3277.
[44] 仇方道,佟连军,朱传耿,等.省际边缘区经济发展差异时空格局及驱动机制——以淮海经济区为例[J].地理研究,2009,28(2):451-463.[Qiu Fangdao, Tong Lianjun, Zhu Chuangeng, et al. Spatiotemporal pattern and driving mechanism of economic development discrepancy in provincial border-regions:A case study of Huaihai economic zone[J]. Geographical Research, 2009,28(2):451-463.]
[45] 刘涛,齐元静,曹广忠.中国流动人口空间格局演变机制及城镇化效应——基于2000和2010年人口普查分县数据的分析[J].地理学报, 2015,70(4):567-581.[Liu Tao, Qi Yuanjing, Cao Guangzhong. China's floating population in the 21st century:Uneven landscape, influencing factors, and effects on urbanization[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2015, 70(4):567-581.]
[46] 古恒宇,覃小玲,沈体雁.中国城市流动人口回流意愿的空间分异及影响因素[J].地理研究,2019,38(8):1877-1890.[Gu Hengyu, Qin Xiaoling, Shen Tiyan. Spatial variation of migrant population's return intention and its determinants in China's prefecture and provincial level cities[J]. Geographical Research, 2019,38(8):1877-1890.]
[47] Wang Mengqi.'Rigid demand':Economic imagination and practice in China's urban housing market[J]. Urban Studies, 2018,55(7):1579-1594.