A STUDY ON SPATIAL MATCHING OF NANJING'S RESIDENTIAL CARE FACILITIES FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND
WANG Tian-xin1,2, GE Da-zhuan2, LI Jie2, YUAN Zi-yi2, WANG Xiao-wei1
1. School of Tourism, Shandong Women's University, Jinan 250300, China; 2. Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application, School of Geography, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210023, China
Abstract：Balancing the supply and demand of residential care facilities is an important task in building an age-friendly society. This study analyzed the spatial characteristics of the supply and demand of residential care facilities in Nanjing based on data from the sixth and seventh national censuses at the street level. Accessibility of residential care facilities in Nanjing was calculated and spatial matching analysis was conducted between accessibility and the proportion of elderly population to study the supply and demand status. The study found that: 1) The aging population in Nanjing increased rapidly from 2010 to 2020, showing a "high—low—high" circular structure pattern from the central city to the suburbs, and the elderly population was concentrated and agglomerating increasingly over the decade; 2) Residential care facilities were more concentrated in the central city, and accessibility rapidly decreased from the central city to the periphery, indicating a significant uneven distribution; 3) The supply and demand of residential care facilities in the central city and main urban areas matched relatively well, while in the suburbs, the supply and demand were not coordinated and local demand could not be met. Based on the analysis and measurement of the supply and demand of residential care facilities, this study provides a basis for optimizing the spatial layout of residential care facilities in Nanjing.
王天心, 戈大专, 李杰, 袁紫怡, 王晓伟. 基于供需视角的南京市养老设施空间匹配研究[J]. 人文地理, 2024, 39(4): 85-93,192.
WANG Tian-xin, GE Da-zhuan, LI Jie, YUAN Zi-yi, WANG Xiao-wei. A STUDY ON SPATIAL MATCHING OF NANJING'S RESIDENTIAL CARE FACILITIES FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND. HUMAN GEOGRAPHY, 2024, 39(4): 85-93,192.
翟振武, 陈佳鞠, 李龙.2015—2100年中国人口与老龄化变动趋势[J]. 人口研究, 2017, 41(4):60-71. [Zhai Zhenwu, Chen Jiaju, Li Long. Future trends of China's population and aging: 2015—2100[J]. Population Research, 2017, 41(4):60-71.]
[2]
王琼.城市社区居家养老服务需求及其影响因素——基于全国性的城市老年人口调查数据[J]. 人口研究, 2016, 40(1):98-112. [Wang Qiong. Demands and determinants of community home-based care services for urban elderly: Based on the 2010 national elderly survey in China[J]. Population Research, 2016, 40(1):98-112.]
[3]
姜磊, 陈星宇, 朱竑.中国城市养老院的空间分布特征及其分异成因[J]. 地理学报, 2021, 76(8):1951-1964. [Jiang Lei, Chen Xingyu, Zhu Hong. The spatial heterogeneity distribution of Chinese urban nursing homes and socio-economic driving factors[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2021, 76(8):1951-1964.]
[4]
Scott D, Jackson E L. Factors that limit and strategies that might encourage people's use of public parks[J]. Journal of Park and Recreation Administration, 1996, 14(1):1-17.
[5]
Cheng Y, Rosenberg M W, Wang W Y, et al. Access to residential care in Beijing, China: Making the decision to relocate to a residential care facility[J]. Ageing & Society, 2012, 32(8):1277-1299.
[6]
De Jong T, van Eck J R. Location profile-based measures as an improvement on accessibility modelling in GIS[J]. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, 1996, 20(3):181-190.
[7]
Yang D H, Goerge R, Mullner R. Comparing GIS-based methods of measuring spatial accessibility to health services[J]. Journal of Medical Systems, 2006, 30(1):23-32.
[8]
Langford M, Higgs G, Radcliffe J, et al. Urban population distribution models and service accessibility estimation[J]. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, 2008, 32(1):66-80.
[9]
Luo W. Using a GIS-based floating catchment method to assess areas with shortage of physicians[J]. Health & Place, 2004, 10(1):1-11.
[10]
Wang F H, Luo W. Assessing spatial and nonspatial factors for healthcare access: Towards an integrated approach to defining health professional shortage areas[J]. Health & Place, 2005, 11(2):131-146.
[11]
陶卓霖, 程杨, 戴特奇.北京市养老设施空间可达性评价[J]. 地理科学进展, 2014, 33(5):616-624. [Tao Zhuolin, Cheng Yang, Dai Teqi. Measuring spatial accessibility to residential care facilities in Beijing[J]. Progress in Geography, 2014, 33(5):616-624.]
[12]
季翔, 肖炳科, 孙强. 城市机构养老服务设施规划配置布局研究——以徐州市主城区为例[J]. 现代城市研究, 2017(2):27-32. [Ji Xiang, Xiao Bingke, Sun Qiang. The reserch of planning and configuration layout strategy on urban institution endowment service facilities: A case study of main city zone of Xuzhou[J]. Modern Urban Research, 2017(2):27-32.]
[13]
张德英, 周云云, 冷燮, 等.基于精细化人口格网的城市机构养老设施供需分析——以上海市浦东新区为例[J]. 华东师范大学学报(自然科学版), 2019(2):174-183. [Zhang Deying, Zhou Yunyun, Leng Xie, et al. Analysis of the supply and demand of senior living facilities based on a refined population grid: A case study of Shanghai Pudong new district[J]. Journal of East China Normal University(Natural Science), 2019(2):174-183.]
[14]
王兰, 周楷宸, 汪子涵.健康公平理念下社区养老设施的空间分布研究——以上海市中心城区为例[J]. 人文地理, 2021, 36(1):48-55. [Wang Lan, Zhou Kaichen, Wang Zihan. Spatial distribution of community pension facilities from the perspective of health equity: A case study of the central city of Shanghai[J]. Human Geography, 2021, 36(1):48-55.]
[15]
高红.基于灰色预测系统的南京市人口老龄化预测[J]. 江苏商论, 2021(8):137-140. [Gao Hong. Prediction of population aging in Nanjing City based on grey prediction system[J]. Jiangsu Commercial Forum, 2021(8):137-140.]
[16]
韩艳红, 陆玉麒.南京都市圈可达性与经济联系格局演化研究[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2014, 23(12):1641-1648. [Han Yanhong, Lu Yuqi. Analysis of accessibility and economic linkage spatial pattern evolution of Nanjing metropolitan area[J]. Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin, 2014, 23(12):1641-1648.]
[17]
谢智敏, 甄峰.长三角区域一体化背景下三甲医院空间配置均衡性[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2021, 30(9):2079-2089. [Xie Zhimin, Zhen Feng. Research on spatial allocation balance of the grade Ⅲ level a hospitals under the background of regional integration in Yangtze River Delta[J]. Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin, 2021, 30(9):2079-2089.]
[18]
Cheng Y, Wang J E, Rosenberg M W. Spatial access to residential care resources in Beijing, China[J]. International Journal of Health Geographics, 2012, 11(1):1-11.
[19]
王晶, 高向东.上海市养老机构空间可达性的度量分析及其公平性评价[J]. 上海经济, 2018(3):44-56. [Wang Jing, Gao Xiangdong. Research on spatial accessibility and equity evaluation to residential care facilities in Shanghai[J]. Shanghai Economy, 2018(3):44-56.]
[20]
Wang F H. Measurement, optimization, and impact of health care accessibility: A methodological review[J]. Annals of the Association of American Geographers, 2012, 102(5):1104-1112.
[21]
宋正娜, 陈雯.基于潜能模型的医疗设施空间可达性评价方法[J]. 地理科学进展, 2009, 28(6):848-854. [Song Zhengna, Chen Wen. Measuring spatial accessibility to health care facilities based on potential model[J]. Progress in Geography, 2009, 28(6):848-854.]
[22]
Rong P J, Zheng Z C, Kwan M P, et al. Evaluation of the spatial equity of medical facilities based on improved potential model and map service API: A case study in Zhengzhou, China[J]. Applied Geography, 2020, 119:102192. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2020.102192.
[23]
林雷, 刘黎明.北京市养老服务设施供需空间配置评价研究[J]. 数理统计与管理, 2020, 39(6):1022-1031. [Lin Lei, Liu Liming. Research on the evaluation of supply and demand space allocation of Beijing pension service facilities[J]. Journal of Applied Statistics and Management, 2020, 39(6):1022-1031.]
[24]
许昕, 赵媛. 南京市养老服务设施空间分布格局及可达性评价——基于时间成本的两步移动搜索法[J]. 现代城市研究, 2017(2): 2-11. [Xu Xin, Zhao Yuan. Spatial distribution pattern and accessibility assessment of pension service facilities in Nanjing: Two-step floating catchment area method based on time cost[J]. Modern Urban Research, 2017(2):2-11.]
[25]
许昕, 赵媛, 张新林, 等.江苏省人口老龄化空间分异演变及影响因素[J]. 地理科学, 2017, 37(12):1859-1866. [Xu Xin, Zhao Yuan, Zhang Xinlin, et al. Spatial variation of population aging and associated factors in Jiangsu Province[J]. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2017, 37(12):1859-1866.]
[26]
许昕, 赵媛, 郭爱妹.基于街道尺度的南京市老年人口空间分布演变研究[J]. 人文地理, 2016, 31(6):88-94, 129. [Xu Xin, Zhao Yuan, Guo Aimei. Spatial distribution of the elderly population in Nanjing based on the street scale[J]. Human Geography, 2016, 31(6):88-94, 129.]
[27]
易卫华, 叶信岳, 王哲野.广东省人口老龄化的时空演化及成因分析[J]. 人口与经济, 2015(3):33-42. [Yi Weihua, Ye Xinyue, Wang Zheye. The spatial aging pattern and its driving forces in Guangdong[J]. Population & Economics, 2015(3):33-42.]
[28]
关伟, 朱海飞.基于ESDA的辽宁省县际经济差异时空分析[J]. 地理研究, 2011, 30(11): 2008-2016. [Guan Wei, Zhu Haifei. Spatiotemporal analysis of inter-county economic differences in Liaoning Province based on ESDA[J]. Geographical Research, 2011, 30(11): 2008-2016.]
[29]
石人炳. 我国农村老年照料问题及对策建议——兼论老年照料的基本类型[J]. 人口学刊, 2012(1):44-51. [Shi Renbing. The elderly care issues in rural China and countermeasures[J]. Population Journal, 2012(1):44-51.]
[30]
王三秀, 杨媛媛.我国农村机构养老面临的现实困境及其对策研究——基于Z省B县的个案调查[J]. 四川理工学院学报(社会科学版), 2017, 32(3):1-15. [Wang Sanxiu, Yang Yuanyuan. The realistic predicament and countermeasure of the rural elderly care in China: A case study based on B county, Z province[J]. Journal of Sichuan University of Science & Engineering (Social Sciences Edition), 2017, 32(3):1-15.]
[31]
闫庆武, 卞正富.基于GIS的中国省际人口迁移流的空间特征分析[J]. 人文地理, 2015, 30(3):125-129. [Yan Qingwu, Bian Zhengfu. Analysis on spatial characteristics spatial characteristics of China's interprovincial migration flows based on GIS[J]. Human Geography, 2015, 30(3):125-129.]
[32]
曾文, 向梨丽, 李红波, 等.南京市医疗服务设施可达性的空间格局及其形成机制[J]. 经济地理, 2017, 37(6): 136-143. [Zeng Wen, Xiang Lili, Li Hongbo, et al. Spatial pattern of access to health care facilities and its formation mechanism in Nanjing[J]. Economic Geography, 2017, 37(6):136-143.]
