建成环境对上海城市持续活力的影响——基于昼夜人口数据的观察

doi:10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2025.04.014

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摘要经济社会的发展和人口活动的丰富要求城市开展全时化建设、激发持续活力。城市持续活力体现在人口活动的空间集聚和时间持续上，并受到城市建成环境的显著影响。响应上海市“24小时活力城市”建设目标，本文以上海市中心城为案例地，基于手机信令数据获取2019—2021三年的昼夜人口数据，据此划分“持续活跃”、“昼间活跃”、“夜间活跃”、“持续不活跃”4种城市持续活力类型并刻画其空间格局，通过空间面板杜宾模型和面板多值Logit模型从建成环境的功能性和通达性两方面分析其影响因素。研究发现：①上海市中心城城市持续活力存在明显的空间分异和时序变化，约8%的区块具有昼夜持续活力，内环以内地区的城市持续活力优于外环附近地区；2019—2021三年间，城市持续活力先衰退后回升的变化。②上海市中心城城市持续活力受到区块的功能多样性、交通节点密度和路网多样性以及空间邻近性的正向影响，此外功能密度和路网密度对昼间活力具有正向影响。研究结论可为激发城市持续活力、建设24小时城市提供政策参考。

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关键词 ：空间面板杜宾模型, 多值Logit模型, 功能性, 通达性, 上海市中心城

Abstract：In response to the goal of establishing a "24-hour dynamic city" in Shanghai, this paper takes the Inner Areas of the Main City of Shanghai (Shanghai IMC) as a case, obtains the daytime and nighttime population data from 2019 to 2021 based on mobile phone signaling data, classifies four types of urban continuous vitality, namely "continuously active", "daytime active", "nighttime active", and "continuously inactive", and depicts the spatial patterns. The study finds that: 1) There are obvious spatial differences and temporal change in the patterns of urban continuous vitality of Shanghai IMC. 2) The urban continuous vitality of Shanghai IMC is significantly positively influenced by functional diversity, traffic-node density, road network diversity, and spatial proximity.

Key words： Spatial Panel Durbin Model Multinomial Logit Model functionality accessibility the Inner Areas of the Main City of Shanghai

收稿日期: 2024-06-16

PACS:

K901

基金资助:国家社会科学基金重大项目（22&ZD067，23ZDA049）；教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目（23JZD028）；上海市哲学社会科学规划课题（2023BCK005）

通讯作者: 何丹（1971—），男，云南昆明人，博士，教授，博士生导师，主要研究方向为城市地理与区域规划。E-mail: dhe@re.ecnu.edu.cn。 E-mail: dhe@re.ecnu.edu.cn

作者简介: 张馨月（2002—），女，四川泸州人，硕士生，主要研究方向为城市地理与区域发展。E-mail: 964655006@qq.com。

引用本文:

张馨月, 何丹, 高鹏, 刘勇. 建成环境对上海城市持续活力的影响——基于昼夜人口数据的观察[J]. 人文地理, 2025, 40(4): 138-146. ZHANG Xin-yue, HE Dan, GAO Peng, LIU Yong. EFFECT OF BUILT ENVIRONMENT ON URBAN CONTINUOUS VITALITY IN SHANGHAI: EVIDENCE OF DAYTIME AND NIGHTTIME POPULATION. HUMAN GEOGRAPHY, 2025, 40(4): 138-146.

链接本文:

http://rwdl.xisu.edu.cn/CN/10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2025.04.014 或 http://rwdl.xisu.edu.cn/CN/Y2025/V40/I4/138

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