运用探索性时空分析框架(ESTDA),从时空交互视角分析1987-2013年入境港澳台和外国人市场的客流省区分布动态。研究发现:(1)省区差异趋于缩小,空间集聚增强。(2)港澳台市场全域极化突出,外国人市场局部时空模式多元;港澳台市场局部空间稳定性由西南部向中北部递减;东南省区间时空依赖效应较强,西北省区较弱。外国人市场局部空间稳定性由沿海、沿边向内陆递减;西部省区间时空依赖效应较强,东南省区较弱。(3)各省区的市场地位相对稳定,外国人客流空间格局变动性相对较高。(4)客流变动以省区协同增长为主,竞合格局因市场和局部区域而异。提出进一步壮大中西部旅游增长极;构建无障碍旅游区;区域合作差异化;加大宣传力度等对策。

Since the reform and open up, China has witnessed a series of great changes in all aspects of social and economic areas and got an outstanding achievement in the international inbound tourism market as well. China has become one of the world's most popular tourist destinations; nevertheless, inbound tourist flow distributes imbalanced among her inner regions due to her vast geographic territory, complexity of natural and social condition and variety in tourism resources. Above all, there are significant disparities in quantity, quality and structure of inbound tourist market between inland and coastal regions. This paper applied the framework of ESTDA to analyze the space-time dynamics of distribution of China's inbound tourist flow from 1987 to 2013. It found that:①the provincial inequality of tourist volume tends to be narrowed, the spatial agglomeration of which is likely to be strengthened. ②The global polarization pattern existing in the HongKong-Macau-Taiwan (HMT)market is remarkable.③Market position of each province is rather stable;④Interprovincial coordinated growth plays the main role in the time sequence of tourist growth.