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人文地理  2014, Vol. 29 Issue (4): 98-103    DOI:
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北极环境变化对中国的战略影响分析
陆俊元
江南社会学院, 苏州 215124
ANALYSIS OF THE STRATEGIC IMPACT OF ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE IN THE ARCTIC ON CHINA
LU Jun-yuan
Jiangnan Social University, Suzhou 215124, China

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摘要 北极地区的自然环境和社会环境正在发生深刻改变,将对世界和中国产生深远的战略影响。北极航道的开通将在一定程度上改变世界的海洋交通格局,在给中国带来机会的同时,也可能造成战略上的被动性。北极资源开发可行性的增大给中国增添了新的资源采购地选择和地缘经济参与机遇,同时也将带来新的挑战。北极地区地缘政治地位的上升将改变现有的世界地缘战略格局,产生新的地缘战略关系,给中国带来复杂的战略影响,中国需加强筹划应对。
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关键词 北极地区环境变化地缘政治战略中国    
Abstract:In recent years, the Chinese academia has strengthened the research of the Arctic strategy, and the relationship between the geopolitics in the Arctic region and China's strategy has gradually become an important topic in the agenda of China's Arctic research. This article analyzes the strategic influences of the new changes of strategic environment in the Arctic upon the world and China from three levels of the world ocean transportation, the regional economic interaction and geostrategic relationship. The main conclusions of this research are:(1) The opening of the Arctic sea routes will change the patterns of the world ocean transportation in a certain degree. Once the Arctic passages opened completely, the new shipping routes will provide China opportunities for its foreign trade, regional economic development, Marine economic development and construction of Marine power. At the same time, it will bring China more problems and challenges to deal with new international relations, national strategy and foreign policies. This maybe caused complexity and passivity to China's marine strategy.(2) As the development feasibility of resources in the Arctic region increasing greatly, China's economic and social development is facing opportunities. The Arctic region may become a new region for China's procurement of resources and geo-economic participation. In addition,there are strong complementary relationship between China's economic development and the economic-social development in the Arctic region from the point of regional economic relations. So, the Arctic will become the new partner of China's economic activities and the new strategic space for China's development in the future.(3) The environment change in the Arctic has significantly changed its geopolitical features.These will further change the geostrategic structures at the global level, regional level and national level. As the Arctic region becomes a new area of geopolitics and geo-economy, China's interests in this region will grow at greatly, and increasing linkages will emerge between China and the Arctic in the future. Therefore,China needs to rethink the strategic relations between China and the Arctic region within new vision, make a long term plan for China's national strategy and marine strategy related to the Arctic.
Key wordsthe Arctic region    environmental change    geopolitics    strategy    China   
收稿日期: 2014-05-15     
基金资助:

国家极地科考十二五规划之"南北极环境综合考察与评估"项目(CHINARE2013040501)

作者简介: 陆俊元(1963-),男,教授、博士,主要研究方向为地缘政治、国际关系、极地战略等研究。E-mail:junyuanlu@aliyun.com。
引用本文:   
陆俊元. 北极环境变化对中国的战略影响分析[J]. 人文地理, 2014, 29(4): 98-103. LU Jun-yuan. ANALYSIS OF THE STRATEGIC IMPACT OF ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE IN THE ARCTIC ON CHINA. HUMAN GEOGRAPHY, 2014, 29(4): 98-103.
链接本文:  
http://rwdl.xisu.edu.cn/CN/      或     http://rwdl.xisu.edu.cn/CN/Y2014/V29/I4/98
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