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人文地理  2010, Vol. 25 Issue (6): 47-52    DOI: 10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2010.06.010
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城镇化与工业化及经济社会发展的协调性评价及规律性探讨
刘涛, 曹广忠, 边雪, 郜晓雯
北京大学 城市与环境学院, 北京 100871
EVALUATING THE COORDINATION BETWEEN URBANIZATION AND INDUSTRIALIZATION AND SOCIOECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
LIU Tao, CAO Guang-zhong, BIAN Xue, GAO Xiao-wen
College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China

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摘要 城镇化与区域发展的关系是广受关注且争议较大的研究议题。在尊重城镇化模式多样性与尺度适宜性的原则下,本文构建了一套表征城镇化与工业化、经济发展、社会发展及区域总体发展水平相对协调关系的指标体系。对浙江省和四川省的实证研究表明,在区域快速发展阶段,各维度的发展并不匹配,整体协调性并非逐步提高,反而有所下降,协调模式多元化;受自然条件、区位、行政区类型和人口迁移影响,协调性表现出显著的空间差异。基于综合指标体系的评价效果显著优于单一指标,尤其对发达地区,采用综合指标来分析更合适。
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关键词 城镇化工业化区域发展协调性评价影响因素    
Abstract:This paper, considering the diversity of urbanization modes and suitability of multi-scales, develops an index framework including all these aspects to evaluate the coordination relationship between urbanization and regional development comprehensively. The case study of Sichuan and Zhejiang provinces, which are chosen as the representatives of western and eastern provinces, shows that diversities of coordination level generally exist between and within the two provinces. In the eastern region, urbanization is lagged slightly behind industrialization and relatively coordinated with economic development, while social development is seriously delayed, reflecting more complex and diverse relationships between them after rapid industrialization. In the western region, urbanization and regional development are relatively coordinated under a more simple development mode. Similar results are also found in coordination of county-scale spatial pattern analysis. Through different paths of regional development, it is quite difficult for rapidly developing regions to keep urbanization synchronous with industrialization and socioeconomic development. Therefore, the coordination levels of urbanization and industrialization, economic development, social development, and the integrated level of regional development tend to decline rather than increase. Besides, compared to urbanization, and industrialization, socioeconomic development are more stable processes. As the level of urbanization increased, the phenomenon of urbanization lagging regional development has been weakened. Regression analysis reveals that the large regional diversity of coordination levels between urbanization and regional development is significantly influenced by natural conditions, location, administrative types, and inner-provincial migration.
Key wordsurbanization    industrialization    regional development    coordination evaluation    influencing factors   
收稿日期: 2010-05-06     
基金资助:

"十一五"国家科技支撑计划重点项目课题(2006BAJ11B06)

通讯作者: 曹广忠(1969-),男,山东莘县人,副教授,博士,研究方向为城镇化、城市与区域规划、城市土地利用等。E-mail:caogzh@urban.pku.edu.cn。     E-mail: caogzh@urban.pku.edu.cn
作者简介: 刘涛(1987-),男,安徽宿州人,硕士研究生,研究方向为城市地理与城市规划。
引用本文:   
刘涛, 曹广忠, 边雪, 郜晓雯. 城镇化与工业化及经济社会发展的协调性评价及规律性探讨[J]. 人文地理, 2010, 25(6): 47-52. LIU Tao, CAO Guang-zhong, BIAN Xue, GAO Xiao-wen. EVALUATING THE COORDINATION BETWEEN URBANIZATION AND INDUSTRIALIZATION AND SOCIOECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT. HUMAN GEOGRAPHY, 2010, 25(6): 47-52.
链接本文:  
http://rwdl.xisu.edu.cn/CN/10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2010.06.010      或     http://rwdl.xisu.edu.cn/CN/Y2010/V25/I6/47
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