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人文地理  2008, Vol. 23 Issue (3): 40-44    DOI: 10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2008.03.009
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城市规模分布模型的应用——以珠江三角洲城市群为例
叶玉瑶1,2, 张虹鸥2
1. 中山大学 地理与规划学院, 广州 510275;
2. 广州地理研究所, 广州 510070
APPLICATION OF THE POPULATION SIZE HIERARCHY MODEL——A Case of the Urban Group of Pearl River Delta
YE Yu-yao1,2, ZHANG Hong-ou2
1. School of Geography and Planning, SUN YAT-SEN University, Guangzhou 510275, China;
2. Guangzhou Institute of Geography, Guangzhou 510070, China

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摘要 城市规模分布定量研究是城市规划中的一项基础性研究工作,它对于准确地预测城市人口规模以及合理地确定城镇体系结构具有非常重要的意义。本文应用城市首位律、位序-规模律、基尼模型对珠江三角洲城市群的城市规模分布及其变化特征进行了实证分析,同时指出了应用这些模型过程中应注意的若干问题,包括模型的运用范围、理想值、相关性、城市规模基础指标的选取等等。该研究旨在解决我国城市规模分布定量研究中的一些问题与困扰,以期能为城市规划实践提供一定的借鉴。
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关键词 规模分布模型珠江三角洲城市群    
Abstract:The quantitative research on the population size hierarchy is a basic work of the city planning. It's significant for the population forecast and the urban system planning. Using the Law of Primate City, the Rank-Size Rule and the Gennich coefficient model, the paper analyzes the population size hierarchy and its evolution character of the Urban Group of Pearl River Delta, so as to resolve some of the puzzles of our research on the population size hierarchy during the study and affording the city planning a measure for reference.
The study shows that the difference of the population size among the cites of the Pearl River Delta has been shortened during the recent 20 years. The increase of the population in the media and small towns is faster than that of the big cities,which shows the current of dispersion. For the rationality of the population size hierarchy, the population of big cities in the Pearl River Delta still has place for increasing.The comparative analysis of population getting from the fifth national census between that from the traditional population statistic shows that the floating population has a remarkable influence on the population size hierarchy of the Pearl River Delta and it's more reasonable to use the fifth national census to analyze the population size hierarchy. The floating population of the Pearl River Delta is more concentrative than the registered population. Due to the strict control policy of Guangzhou, the floating population mostly swarms into the other cities, such as Shenzhen, Foshan, Dongguan. As a result, the population size of the aforementioned cities increase faster than that of Guangzhou.
The study also shows that the Law of Primate City, the Rank-Size Rule and the Gennich coefficient model can fully disclose the character of the population size hierarchy of the Pearl River Delta. And as a constant curvefitting model, the Gennich coefficient model, makes up the deficiency of the regression curvefitting of the Rank-Size Rule perfectly and provides a new measure for evaluation of the rationality of the city size. And the latest is the key point to decide the results of the analysis.Up to now, the authors still haven't set up a suit of index of the city size in China durable and comparable with other countries. However, using the traditional population statistics in the trend analysis and the fifth national census in the static compare has initially solved the puzzles. But the final solution for the problem is to set up a new scientific index for the city size.
Key wordspopulation size hietarchy    model    urban group of Pearl River Delta   
收稿日期: 2007-01-30     
基金资助:

广东省自然科学基金项目(06020306)

作者简介: 叶玉瑶(1980-),女,四川乐山人,助理研究员,博士研究生,主要从事区域发展与城市规划研究。
引用本文:   
叶玉瑶, 张虹鸥. 城市规模分布模型的应用——以珠江三角洲城市群为例[J]. 人文地理, 2008, 23(3): 40-44. YE Yu-yao, ZHANG Hong-ou. APPLICATION OF THE POPULATION SIZE HIERARCHY MODEL——A Case of the Urban Group of Pearl River Delta. HUMAN GEOGRAPHY, 2008, 23(3): 40-44.
链接本文:  
http://rwdl.xisu.edu.cn/CN/10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2008.03.009      或     http://rwdl.xisu.edu.cn/CN/Y2008/V23/I3/40
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