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人文地理  2007, Vol. 22 Issue (3): 73-77    DOI: 10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2007.03.016
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基于亲景度与竞争态的上海入境旅游市场分析
刘春济1, 高静2
1. 上海师范大学犹他科技学院, 上海 200234;
2. 上海对外贸易学院商务外语学院, 上海 201620
ANALYSES ON INBOUND TOURISM MARKETOF SHANGHAI BASED ON THE COMPETITION STATE AND THE PREFERENCE SCALE
LIU Chun-ji1, GAO Jing2
1. Utah Institute of Science and Technology, Shanghai Normal University, Shanghai 200234, China;
2. School of Commercial Foreign Language, Shanghai Foreign Trade Institute, Shanghai 201620, China

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摘要 运用亲景度、竞争态等市场指标体系和SPSS统计软件,对1997-2004年上海入境旅游市场进行了分析,发现1997-2004年上海主要的入境旅游市场亲景度相对比较稳定,但竞争态却呈现出上下波动的态势。本文认为亲景度和竞争态虽然有其内在的联系,但就上海入境旅游市场而言,亲景度和竞争态的关联性并不是特别显著,而为了比较合理地测量入境旅游市场,在选取亲景度为偏好系数衡量旅游市场时,需要结合竞争态做综合分析。最后,本文结合Co-Plot分析法,对上海的入境旅游市场选择提出了建议。
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关键词 亲景度竞争态入境市场上海Co-Plot    
Abstract:Under the general industrial background of giving priority to the development of international tourism, the educational and industrial circles pay close attention to the market of inbound tourism. Following the approaching of the World Exposition of Shanghai in 2010,it receives high attention from the academic circles. Previous studies surveyed the market of inbound tourism with various standards.Scholars,through multiple comparison in the process of appraisal,hold that standards of the preference scale and the competition state,are more scientific,intuitive and more feasible.Simultaneously,some scholars made combined analysis of the two standards in the process of surveying the cities like Guilin and Suzhou and considered that the differences of the preference scale are one of the reasons which cause the differences of the competition state.
The current article, with relevant data between 1997 and 2004, counting respectively the preference scale and the competition state of the market of inbound tourism in Shanghai makes a combined analysis and finds that the former presents comparatively stable, while the latter undulate. At the same time, in Shanghai, a commercialized international metropolis, despite the intrinsic connection, the relation between the preference scale and the competition state is not especially remarkable. According to Co-plot analysis, the reason lies in high explanation for the market share but less connection with the rate of increment. Therefore, it needs to make a combined analysis with the competition state when measuring the market of tourism with the preference scale as the survey index in order to get a reasonable judgment.
Finally, with the Co-plot analysis techniques, the preference scale, the market share, and the rate of increment as the variables, the current article makes classified analysis and put forth series of suggestions at the same time, expecting offering theoretical reference for its further development in the World Exposition of Shanghai in 2010.
Key wordsthe preference scale    the competition state    inbound tourism market    Shanghai    Co-Plot   
收稿日期: 2006-05-13     
作者简介: 刘春济(1976-),男,河北人,讲师,主要从事旅游管理专业教学与科研工作。
引用本文:   
刘春济, 高静. 基于亲景度与竞争态的上海入境旅游市场分析[J]. 人文地理, 2007, 22(3): 73-77. LIU Chun-ji, GAO Jing. ANALYSES ON INBOUND TOURISM MARKETOF SHANGHAI BASED ON THE COMPETITION STATE AND THE PREFERENCE SCALE. HUMAN GEOGRAPHY, 2007, 22(3): 73-77.
链接本文:  
http://rwdl.xisu.edu.cn/CN/10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2007.03.016      或     http://rwdl.xisu.edu.cn/CN/Y2007/V22/I3/73
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