THE TEMPORAL-SPATIAL EVOLUTION OF POPULATION AGEING AND ITS CLASSIFICATION IN CHANGCHUN

doi:10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2018.03.013

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HUMAN GEOGRAPHY ›› 2018, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (3) : 104-111. DOI: 10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2018.03.013

THE TEMPORAL-SPATIAL EVOLUTION OF POPULATION AGEING AND ITS CLASSIFICATION IN CHANGCHUN

HU Shu-ju¹, LI Cheng-gu¹, SHEN Qing-xi², MA Zuo-peng¹

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Abstract

This paper presented a new Composite Ageing Index that can be used to provide a better understanding of the geography of ageing according to three key dimensions:numeric ageing, structural ageing, and ageing population density. This indicator, combined with the multi-scale spatial autocorrelation analysis used in this study, can arguably rectify the defects of previous studies that have used only one or two indicators, or conducted their analysis only at a single spatial scale to study the changing geography of ageing. The results show that:① the geography of ageing in Changchun shows an obvious trend of spatial diffusion to its suburbs, there is an obvious trend of elderly people's enmasse migration to the suburbs. The hot spot area moved to the south and east, while, cold spot area moved to the east, which indicated that there is an obvious trend of population ageing in the eastern and southern parts of suburbs in Changchun during 2000-2010. ② Using the new classification criterion, the ageing mechanism of each community was revealed. The geography of ageing in Changchun can be divided into four types, named ageing with depopulation, ageing with accumulation, ageing in place and non-ageing. Most of the communities in traditional inner core or rural periphery are ageing rapidly with the massive out-migration of young people; alongside this, the city's suburbs have experienced explosive growth in their elderly population, while, the demographic structure in most of communities are still young. The geography of ageing in Changchun also shows a distinctive ‘sandwich structure’, where the city centre and rural periphery have an older demographic structure than the suburbs with the out-migration of the non-elderly.

Key words

population ageing / composite ageing index / temporal-spatial evolution / ageing types / Changchun

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HU Shu-ju, LI Cheng-gu, SHEN Qing-xi, MA Zuo-peng. THE TEMPORAL-SPATIAL EVOLUTION OF POPULATION AGEING AND ITS CLASSIFICATION IN CHANGCHUN[J]. HUMAN GEOGRAPHY. 2018, 33(3): 104-111 https://doi.org/10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2018.03.013

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