PDF(32642 KB)
ANALYSIS ON THE COMPETITIVE PATTERNS AND INFLUENCING FACTORS OF GLOBAL AEROSPACE TRADE
Xi-ya LI, De-bin DU, Yu-ling CHEN, Zi-wei JIANG, Qi-fan XIA
PDF(32642 KB)
PDF(32642 KB)
ANALYSIS ON THE COMPETITIVE PATTERNS AND INFLUENCING FACTORS OF GLOBAL AEROSPACE TRADE
This paper constructs global trade competition networks, portraying the evolution of the multi-scale global competition patterns and structure from global to regional to national levels, and exploring the influencing factors. The results show that: 1) From 2000 to 2019, global aerospace trade competition intensity and density increased, with aircraft and core subsystems exhibiting polarized competition, non-core subsystems characterized by large scale and high density. The outbreak of COVID-19 caused a sharp decline in competition. 2) Trade competition between Europe and North America, as well as within Europe, is particularly intense, with a trend to transfer towards Asia, especially in the engine segment. Asian countries exhibit diverse competition relationships with low intensity but rapid growth. 3) Global competition is dominated by a few countries with entrenched hierarchies. The US occupies the absolute core, forming a stable "hub-and-spoke" structure in supply chain competition. The second-tier France and Germany hold advantages in final product competition and are moving towards efficient competition in aircraft segment. China has grown rapidly in the parts competition but faces significant competitive pressure. 4) The trade breadth and trade control capacity exhibit positive effects on trade competition. Intense trade competition tends to take place between closer countries with similar economic levels and amicable political relations, as well as between countries with large technology gaps and firm gaps in the aerospace sector.
aerospace / trade competition / spatio-temporal pattern / influencing factor
| 1 |
陈凯华, 温馨, 张超. 国家科技竞争力测度、演进与国际比较[J]. 中国科学院院刊, 2024, 39 (1): 163- 175.
Chen Kaihua, Wen Xin, Zhang Chao. Measurement, evolution and international comparison of national science and technology competitiveness[J]. Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences, 2024, 39 (1): 163- 175.
|
| 2 |
Rebolledo C, Jean N. Learning from suppliers in the aerospace industry[J]. International Journal of Production Economics, 2011, 129 (2): 328- 337.
|
| 3 |
Hayward K. The World Aerospace Industry: From Internationalisation to Globalisation[M]//Lawrence P, Braddon D. Strategic Issues in European Aerospace. New York: Routledge, 2017: 3-14.
|
| 4 |
Bamber P, Gereffi G, Frederick S, et al. Costa Rica in the Aerospace Global Value Chain: Opportunities for Entry & Upgrade[R]. Durham, NC: Center on Globalization, Governance & Competitiveness, Duke University, 2013: 1-50.
|
| 5 |
Li X, Du D, Xia Q, et al. Mapping the structure and dynamics of global high-tech aerospace trade[J]. Global Networks, 2024, 24 (3): e12475.
|
| 6 |
Calignano G, Fitjar R D, Kogler D F. The core in the periphery? The cluster organization as the central node in the Apulian aerospace district[J]. Regional Studies, 2018, 52 (11): 1490- 1501.
|
| 7 |
Niosi J, Zhegu M. Aerospace clusters: Local or global knowledge spillovers?[J]. Industry & Innovation, 2005, 12 (1): 5- 29.
|
| 8 |
Grimes S, Du D. China's emerging role in the global semiconductor value chain[J]. Telecommunications Policy, 2022, 46 (2): 101959.
|
| 9 |
Dostaler I. Competing in the global aerospace supply chain: The case of the Canadian aerospace industry[J]. Operations Management Research, 2013, 6, 32- 43.
|
| 10 |
Braddon D, Hartley K. Aerospace Competitiveness: UK, US and Europe[R]. Bristol: Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Bristol Business School, University of the West of England, 2005: 1-20.
|
| 11 |
Strube G, Eloot K, Griessmann N, et al. Trends in the Commercial Aerospace Industry[M]// Richter K, Walther J. Supply Chain Integration Challenges in Commercial Aerospace: A Comprehensive Perspective on the Aviation Value Chain. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2017: 141-159.
|
| 12 |
McGuire S. Sectoral innovation patterns and the rise of new competitors: The case of civil aerospace in Asia[J]. Industry and Innovation, 1999, 6 (2): 153- 170.
|
| 13 |
Caliari T, Ribeiro L C, Pietrobelli C, et al. Global value chains and sectoral innovation systems: An analysis of the aerospace industry[J]. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 2023, 65, 36- 48.
|
| 14 |
McGuire S. The Changing Landscape of The Aircraft Industry[R]. London: Chatham House, 2011: 1-15.
|
| 15 |
McGuire S. The United States, Japan and the aerospace industry: From capture to competitor?[J]. The Pacific Review, 2007, 20 (3): 329- 350.
|
| 16 |
Soshkin M. The US Aerospace industry: a manufacturing powerhouse[J]. Business Economics, 2016, 51 (3): 166- 180.
|
| 17 |
Vértesy D. Preconditions, windows of opportunity and innovation strategies: Successive leadership changes in the regional jet industry[J]. Research Policy, 2017, 46 (2): 388- 403.
|
| 18 |
McGuire S. Global value chains and state support in the aircraft industry[J]. Business and Politics, 2014, 16 (4): 615- 639.
|
| 19 |
李滨, 陈怡. 高科技产业竞争的国际政治经济学分析[J]. 世界经济与政治, 2019 (3): 135-154, 160.
Li Bin, Chen Yi. Politico-economic analysis of international high-tech competition[J]. World Economics and Politics, 2019 (3): 135-154, 160.
|
| 20 |
Wallerstein I. The Modern World System[M]. New York: Academic Press, 1974: 224- 349.
|
| 21 |
刘洪钟. 霸权护持与超越——高科技产业全球价值链竞争的政治经济学[J]. 世界经济与政治, 2023 (2): 128-154, 159-160.
Liu Hongzhong. Hegemonic Maintenance and transcendence: The political economy of global value chain competition in high-tech industries[J]. World Economics and Politics, 2023 (2): 128-154, 159-160.
|
| 22 |
潘旵, 谢林志. 中德知识产权密集型产业竞合关系研究[J]. 工业技术经济, 2019, 38 (5): 45- 54.
Pan Chan, Xie Linzhi. The competitive and complement analysis of IP-intensive industries between China and Germany[J]. Journal of Industrial Technology and Economy, 2019, 38 (5): 45- 54.
|
| 23 |
赵家章, 丁国宁, 郭龙飞. 中美高新技术产业全球价值链分工地位和竞争力研究[J]. 首都经济贸易大学学报, 2022, 24 (2): 15- 26.
Zhao Jiazhang, Ding Guoning, Guo Longfei. Research on position of labor division and competitiveness of GVC in China-US high-tech industry[J]. Journal of Capital University of Economics and Business, 2022, 24 (2): 15- 26.
|
| 24 |
张沈圆, 邢祖哥, 黄耿志. 中国与环南海国家(地区)贸易竞争性和互补性格局[J]. 人文地理, 2022, 37 (1): 171- 180.
Zhang Shenyuan, Xing Zuge, Huang Gengzhi. Trade competitiveness and complementarities patterns between China and the countries (regions) surrounding the South China Sea[J]. Human Geography, 2022, 37 (1): 171- 180.
|
| 25 |
Zhang H Y, Ji Q, Fan Y. Competition, transmission and pattern evolution: A network analysis of global oil trade[J]. Energy Policy, 2014, 73, 312- 322.
|
| 26 |
祝孔超, 赵媛, 姚亚兵, 等. 全球稀土进口竞争格局分析及潜在贸易联系预测[J]. 资源科学, 2022, 44 (1): 70- 84.
Zhu Kongchao, Zhao Yuan, Yao Yabing, et al. Global rare earth import competition pattern and prediction for potential trade links[J]. Resources Science, 2022, 44 (1): 70- 84.
|
| 27 |
Hao X. Import competition and pressure in the international crude oil trade: A network analysis[J]. Resources Policy, 2023, 82, 103468.
|
| 28 |
王妍, 范爱军. 全球粮食进口竞争格局及影响因素研究[J]. 经济学家, 2023 (5): 118- 128.
Wang Yan, Fan Aijun. Research on global grain imports competition pattern and influence factors[J]. Economist, 2023 (5): 118- 128.
|
| 29 |
Zhang H, Wang X, Tang J, et al. The impact of international rare earth trade competition on global value chain upgrading from the industrial chain perspective[J]. Ecological Economics, 2022, 198, 107472.
|
| 30 |
孙浬阳. 贸易竞争结构特征、影响因素与发展取向[J]. 经济学家, 2020 (6): 35- 48.
Sun Liyang. Trade competition structure characteristics, influence factors and development orientation[J]. Economist, 2020 (6): 35- 48.
|
| 31 |
Hatzichronoglou T. Revision of the High-Technology Sector and Product Classification[R]// OECD Science, Technology and Industry Working Papers, No. 1997/02. Paris: OECD Publishing, 1997: 1-25.
|
| 32 |
Caliari T, Ferreira M J B, Pietrobelli C, et al. Aerospace Industry: Current Status and Trends of the Global Value Chain[R]. Washington D. C. : Inter-American Development Bank, 2025: 14-22.
|
| 33 |
Glick R, Rose A K. Contagion and trade: Why are currency crises regional?[J]. Journal of International Money and Finance, 1999, 18 (4): 603- 617.
|
| 34 |
侯纯光, 杜德斌, 刘承良, 等. 全球留学生留学网络时空演化及其影响因素[J]. 地理学报, 2020, 75 (4): 681- 694.
Hou Chunguang, Du Debin, Liu Chengliang, et al. Spatio-temporal evolution and factors influencing international student mobility networks in the world[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75 (4): 681- 694.
|
| 35 |
李庭竹, 杜德斌. 全球集成电路贸易网络结构演化及中国对外依赖分析[J]. 中国科技论坛, 2023 (3): 93- 103.
Li Tingzhu, Du Debin. Analysis on network structure evolution of global integrated circuit trade and China's foreign dependence[J]. Forum on Science and Technology in China, 2023 (3): 93- 103.
|
| 36 |
Page L, Brin S, Motwani R, et al. The PageRank Citation Ranking: Bringing Order to the Web[R]. Stanford, CA: Stanford InfoLab, 1998: 1-17.
|
| 37 |
洪俊杰, 商辉. 中国开放型经济的"共轭环流论": 理论与证据[J]. 中国社会科学, 2019 (1): 42-64, 205.
Hong Junjie, Shang Hui. The conjoint circulation theory of China's open economy: Theory and argumentation[J]. Social Sciences in China, 2019 (1): 42-64, 205.
|
| 38 |
De Benedictis L, Tajoli L. The world trade network[J]. The World Economy, 2011, 34 (8): 1417- 1454.
|
| 39 |
Shao L, Hu J, Zhang H. Evolution of global lithium competition network pattern and its influence factors[J]. Resources Policy, 2021, 74, 102353.
|
| 40 |
Boschma R. Proximity and innovation: A critical assessment[J]. Regional studies, 2005, 39 (1): 61- 74.
|
| 41 |
Li E, Ma Y, Wang Y, et al. Competition among cities for export trade brings diversification: The experience of China's urban export trade development[J]. PLOS ONE, 2022, 17 (9): e0271239.
|
| 42 |
孙泽生, 严亚萍. 域外竞争、政治关系与国际贸易——以中国与"一带一路"沿线国家为例[J]. 太平洋学报, 2021, 29 (4): 66- 84.
Sun Zesheng, Yan Yaping. Extraterritorial competition, political relations and international trade: An empirical study based on trade between China and the BRI countries[J]. Pacific Journal, 2021, 29 (4): 66- 84.
|
| 43 |
Daniels P L. National technology gaps and trade — an empirical study of the influence of globalisation[J]. Research Policy, 1997, 25 (8): 1189- 1207.
|
| 44 |
杜德斌. 全球科技创新中心: 理论与实践[M]. 上海: 上海科学技术出版社, 2024: 85- 94.
Du Debin. Global Scientific and Technological Innovation Centers: Theory and Practice[M]. Shanghai: Shanghai Scientific & Technical Publishers, 2024: 85- 94.
|
| 45 |
杨飞虎. 波特国家竞争优势理论及对中国的借鉴意义[J]. 学术论坛, 2007 (5): 97- 100.
Yang Feihu. Porter's theory of national competitive advantage and its relevance to China[J]. Academic Forum, 2007 (5): 97- 100.
|
| 46 |
Bailey M A, Strezhnev A, Voeten E. Estimating dynamic state preferences from United Nations voting data[J]. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 2017, 61 (2): 430- 456.
|
| 47 |
何奇松. 法国太空军事战略评析[J]. 欧洲研究, 2020, 38 (6): 135-154, 8.
He Qisong. An analysis of French military space strategy[J]. Chinese Journal of European Studies, 2020, 38 (6): 135-154, 8.
|
/
| 〈 |
|
〉 |
