改革开放以来中国国际影响力的提升及其空间拓展机制

车冰清; 朱传耿

doi:10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2019.05.014

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人文地理 ›› 2019, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (5) : 109-116,134. DOI: 10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2019.05.014

政治

改革开放以来中国国际影响力的提升及其空间拓展机制

车冰清^1,2, 朱传耿^1,2

作者信息 +

ANALYSIS OF CHINA'S INTERNATIONAL INFLUENCE AND ITS SPATIAL EXPANSION SINCE THE REFORM AND OPENING-UP POLICY

CHE Bing-qing^1,2, ZHU Chuan-geng^1,2

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文章历史 +

摘要

采用全球媒体报道事件大数据，依据空间相互作用理论和距离衰减理论，构建国家影响力评价模型，揭示中国在全球国家体系中的地位和作用，刻画其国家影响力的演变轨迹和影响空间拓展的过程，并挖掘海量事件背后隐藏的宏观格局形成的微观驱动机制。结果表明：①1980—2015年，世界大国影响力指数呈现良好的时空惯性，欧亚大陆的边缘地带是国家影响力指数高值的分布区域。②中国国家影响力指数的提升主要依靠其经济实力的增强，提升过程表现出“先平稳后快速”的阶段特征，不同阶段呈现出不同的对外开放和外交政策特征。③与中国发生事件联系的国家（地区）基本实现全球覆盖，2015年体现为对“一带一路”沿线国家影响作用的大幅上升。④经济发展的推动作用是宏观因素，与发达大国的耦合关系、主动的对外联系、政府主导的国际合作是中国国家影响力提升的微观事件驱动因素。

Abstract

According to the theory of spatial interaction and the theory of distance decay, by means of constructing a quantitative measurement model of geopolitical influence based on event data, it is found that from 1980 to 2015, the rank system and the influential index of the world powers show a good temporal and spatial inertia. The Eurasian continental margin is the agglomeration area with high geopolitical influence index. The geopolitical influence of China, the United States and Russia is quite different. The promotion of China's geopolitical influence is mainly promoted through the enhancement of its economic strength. The enhancement of the U.S. geopolitical influence is a general result of advancement in the fields of economy, science and technology and military affairs. Russia's geopolitical influence lags behind China and the United States. On the one hand, it is reflected Russia lacks economic strength; on the other hand, because of its conflicts with other countries, it reduces its geopolitical influence index. The index of geopolitical influence in China showed the characteristics of "smooth first and then fast". Varied opening-up and foreign policies echoed the rising geopolitical index. The countries or regions that China has influence on has increased from 132 in 1980 to 210 in 2015. The expansion of influence intensity starts with East Asia → Southeast Asia → South Asia, West Asia → Europe, Oceania, North America → Africa and South America. The driving force of economic development, the coupling with developed countries, active cooperation and exchange with foreign countries, and government-led events are the main driving forces for raising the geopolitical influence in China.

导出引用

车冰清, 朱传耿. 改革开放以来中国国际影响力的提升及其空间拓展机制[J]. 人文地理. 2019, 34(5): 109-116,134 https://doi.org/10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2019.05.014

CHE Bing-qing, ZHU Chuan-geng. ANALYSIS OF CHINA'S INTERNATIONAL INFLUENCE AND ITS SPATIAL EXPANSION SINCE THE REFORM AND OPENING-UP POLICY[J]. HUMAN GEOGRAPHY. 2019, 34(5): 109-116,134 https://doi.org/10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2019.05.014

中图分类号： K901.4

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