乡村振兴导向下乡村发展能力的多维测度及时空交互特征

doi:10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2023.01.014

摘要
图/表
参考文献(0)
相关文章 (15)

全文: PDF (59007 KB) HTML (1 KB)
输出: BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)

摘要乡村振兴要求走乡村内生性发展道路，客观认知乡村发展能力的时空分异格局和交互关系对乡村振兴战略实施具有重要意义。本文从农业产业发展、农村基础建设和农民社会生活三个维度构建测度指标体系，并引入面板向量自回归模型识别影响乡村发展能力的敏感因素，以此测度乡村发展能力指数，进而采用探索性时空数据分析方法揭示乡村发展能力的时空交互特征。结果表明：①我国中部地区多维乡村发展能力提升，但呈明显的空间异质性，不同维度间差异化显著；②中部地区多维乡村发展能力局域空间格局呈现较强的动态性并整体表现出较强的空间依赖关系；③邻接地级市多维乡村发展能力的时空交互网络以正向关联为主，局部空间呈差异化的竞合态势。

	服务

	把本文推荐给朋友
	加入我的书架
	加入引用管理器
	E-mail Alert
	RSS
	作者相关文章
	周滔
	张璞洁

关键词 ：乡村振兴, 乡村发展能力, 面板向量自回归, 多维测度, 探索性时空数据分析

Abstract：Rural revitalization calls for endogenous development in rural areas. It is of great significance to objectively understand the spatial and temporal differentiation pattern and interaction relationship of rural development capacity for the implementation of rural revitalization strategy. Based on prefecture-level cities data in six provinces of the central China, this paper constructs the measurement index system from three dimensions of agricultural industry development, rural infrastructure construction and farmer social life and introduces panel vector autoregressive model, so as to identify sensitive factors affecting rural development capacity and measure multidimensional rural development capability index. Then it uses exploratory spatiotemporal data analysis method to reveal the spatio-temporal interaction characteristics of multidimensional rural development capability. The main conclusions are as follows. Firstly, during the study period, the multidimensional rural development capability in the six provinces of central China had been proved, however, there is obvious spatial heterogeneity and significant differences among different dimensions. Secondly, the multi-dimensional rural development capacity shows strong dynamics in regional spatial pattern and strong spatial dependence overall. Thirdly, the spatio-temporal interaction network of multidimensional rural development capacity in neighboring cities is mainly positive correlation, and local space presents different competitive and cooperative situation.

Key words： rural revitalization rural development capacity panel vector autoregressive multi-dimensional measurement exploratory spatio-temporal data analysis

收稿日期: 2021-12-03

PACS:

F129.9

基金资助:国家社会科学基金项目（17BGL128）

作者简介: 周滔（1978—），男，河南南阳人，博士，教授，主要研究方向为城乡空间治理。E-mail:taozhou@cqu.edu.cn。

引用本文:

周滔, 张璞洁. 乡村振兴导向下乡村发展能力的多维测度及时空交互特征[J]. 人文地理, 2023, 38(1): 118-129,157. ZHOU Tao, ZHANG Pu-jie. MULTI-DIMENSIONAL MEASUREMENT AND SPATIO-TEMPORAL INTERACTION CHARACTERISTICS OF RURAL DEVELOPMENT CAPACITY UNDER THE ORIENTATION OF RURAL REVITALIZATION. HUMAN GEOGRAPHY, 2023, 38(1): 118-129,157.

链接本文:

http://rwdl.xisu.edu.cn/CN/10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2023.01.014 或 http://rwdl.xisu.edu.cn/CN/Y2023/V38/I1/118

[1]	王亚华,苏毅清.乡村振兴——中国农村发展新战略[J].中央社会主义学院学报,2017(6):49-55.[Wang Yahua, Su Yiqing. Rural revitalization:A new strategy for rural development in China[J]. Journal of the Central Institute of Socialism, 2017(6):49-55.]
[2]	郭远智,刘彦随.中国乡村发展进程与乡村振兴路径[J].地理学报, 2021,76(6):1408-1421.[Guo Yuanzhi, Liu Yansui. The process of rural development and paths for rural revitalization in China[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2021,76(6):1408-1421.]
[3]	薛苏鹏.对农村衰落的原因及乡村振兴的思考[J].当代经济,2018(19):92-93.[Xue Supeng. Reflections on the causes of rural decline and rural revitalization[J]. Contemporary Economics, 2018(19):92-93.]
[4]	房艳刚,刘继生,程叶青.农村区域经济发展理论和模式的回顾与反思[J].经济地理,2009,29(9):1530-1534.[Fang Yangang, Liu Jishneg, Cheng Yeqing. Theories versus practices of economic development in Chinese rural regions[J]. Economic Geography, 2009,29(9):1530-1534.]
[5]	张环宙,黄超超,周永广.内生式发展模式研究综述[J].浙江大学学报(人文社会科学版),2007(2):61-68.[Zhang Huanzhou, Huang Chaochao, Zhou Yongguang A review of the endogenous development[J]. Journal of Zhejiang University (Humanities and Social Sciences Edition), 2007(2):61-68.]
[6]	张文明,章志敏.资源·参与·认同:乡村振兴的内生发展逻辑与路径选择[J]. 社会科学,2018(11):75-85.[Zhang Wenming, Zhang Zhimin. Resourcrs, participation and identity:Logic of endogenous development and path selection of rural revitalization[J]. Journal of Social Science, 2018(11):75-85.]
[7]	张丙宣,华逸婕. 激励结构、内生能力与乡村振兴[J]. 浙江社会科学,2018(5):56-63,157-158.[Zhang Bingxuan, Hua Yijie. Incentive Structure, viability and rural vitalization[J]. Zhejiang Social Sciences, 2018(5):56-63,157-158.]
[8]	张慧,舒平,徐良.基于内生式发展的乡村社区营建模式研究[J].现代城市研究, 2017(9):72-77.[Zhang Hui, Shu Ping, Xu Liang. Study on the rural community construction based on the endogenous development[J]. Modern Urban Research, 2017(9):72-77.]
[9]	Jan Douwe Van der Ploeg, Ann Long. Born from Within:Practice and Perspectives of Endogenous Rural Development[M]. Assen:Van Gorcum and Comp BV, 1994:1-6.
[10]	牟成文. 关于提升村庄内生能力的思考[J]. 社会主义研究,2012(2):77-81.[Mou Chengwen. Thinking about improving the endogenous capacity of villages[J]. Socialism Studies, 2012(2):77-81.]
[11]	廖彩荣,陈美球.乡村振兴战略的理论逻辑、科学内涵与实现路径[J]. 农林经济管理学报,2017,16(6):795-802.[Liao Cairong, Chen Meiqiu. The theoretical logic, scientific connotation and achieving methods of rural revitalization strategy[J]. Journal of Agri-Forestry Economics and Management, 2017,16(6):795-802.]
[12]	李玉恒,阎佳玉,宋传垚.乡村振兴与可持续发展——国际典型案例剖析及其启示[J]. 地理研究,2019,38(3):595-604.[Li Yuheng, Yan Jiayu, Song Chuanyao. Rural revitalization and sustainable development:Typical case analysis and its enlightenments[J]. Geographical Research, 2019,38(3):595-604.]
[13]	周扬,郭远智,刘彦随.中国乡村地域类型及分区发展途径[J].地理研究,2019,38(3):467-481.[Zhou Yang, Guo Yuanzhi, Liu Yansui. Areal types and their development paths in rural China[J]. Geographical Research, 2019,38(3):467-481.]
[14]	张挺,李闽榕,徐艳梅.乡村振兴评价指标体系构建与实证研究[J]. 管理世界,2018,34(8):99-105.[Zhang Ting, Li Minrong, Xu Yanmei. Construction and empirical study of evaluation index system of rural revitalization[J]. Journal of Management World, 2018, 34(8):99-105.]
[15]	OECD. OECD Regional Outlook 2016:Productive Regions for Inclusive Societies[M]. Paris:OECD Publishing, 2016:1-304.
[16]	中共中央国务院.乡村振兴战略规划(2018-2022年)[M].北京:人民出版社,2018:3.[The Communist Party of China Central Committee and the State Council. Strategic Planning for Rural Revitalization (2018-2022)[M]. Beijing:People's Publishing House, 2018:3.]
[17]	国务院发展研究中心发展战略和区域经济研究部. 中部崛起战略与对策[M].北京:经济科学出版社,2006:4.[Development Strategy and Regional Economic Research Department of the Development Research Center of the State Council. Strategies and Countermeasures for the Rise of the Central Region[M]. Beijing:Economic Science Press,2006:4.]
[18]	彭正文.中部地区的"三农"问题与跨越式发展路径探讨[J].企业技术开发,2008(8):102-104,112.[Peng Zhengwen. Disscussion on the problems of agriculture, farmers and country and spanning development method in central districts of China[J]. Technological Development of Enterprise, 2008(8):102-104,112.]
[19]	张杏梅.中部崛起中的"三农"问题研究[J].经济地理,2008,28(1):128-130.[Zhang Xingmei. A study on the three rural problems during the rise of central part of China[J]. Economic Geography, 2008, 28(1):128-130.]
[20]	曹智,郑小玉,李裕瑞.黄土丘陵区典型村域样带乡村发展水平地域分异特征[J]. 经济地理,2020,40(8):165-171.[Cao Zhi, Zheng Xiaoyu, Li Yurui. Regional differentiation characteristics of rural development level in the typical village transects of China's loess hilly region[J]. Economic Geography, 2020,40(8):165-171.]
[21]	王武林,曹小曙,黄晓燕.1980-2010年中国乡村公路发展及其影响因素研究[J].经济地理,2013,33(3):22-27,51.[Wang Wulin, Cao Xiaoshu, Huang Xiaoyan. Research on rural road development in China and its impact factors from 1980 to 2010[J]. Economic Geography, 2013,33(3):22-27,51.]
[22]	万信,龙迎伟.论乡村振兴战略的基本内涵、价值及实现理路[J]. 江苏农业科学,2018,46(17):327-330.[Wan Xin, Long Yingwei. The basic connotation, value and realization of rural vitalization strategy[J]. Jiangsu Agricultural Sciences, 2018,46(17):327-330.]
[23]	贺雪峰.关于实施乡村振兴战略的几个问题[J].南京农业大学学报(社会科学版),2018,18(3):19-26,152.[He Xuefeng. Some issues in rural thriving strategy implementation[J]. Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University (Social Science Edition), 2018, 18(3):19-26, 152.]
[24]	唐任伍. 乡村公共基础设施建设是乡村振兴的关键[EB/OL]. (2021-03-02)[2022-03-28]. https://m.gmw.cn/baijia/2021-03/02/34655125.html.[Tang Qianwu, Rural public infrastructure construction is the key to rural revitalization[EB/OL]. (2021-03-02)[2022-03-28]. https://m.gmw.cn/baijia/2021-03/02/34655125.html.]
[25]	中共中央国务院. 中共中央国务院关于实施乡村振兴战略的意见[EB/OL]. (2018-02-04)[2022-03-28]. http://www.gov.cn/zhengce/2018-02/04/content_5263807.htm.[The Communist Party of China Central Committee and the State Council. Opinions on implementing the Rural revitalization Strategy[EB/OL].(2018-02-04)[2022-03-28]. http://www.gov.cn/zhengce/2018-02/04/content_5263807.htm.]
[26]	徐贻军,任木荣.湖南现代农业发展水平评价[J].经济地理,2009, 29(7):1166-1171.[Xu Yijun, Ren Murong. The development of modern agriculture in Hunan province level evaluation[J]. Economic Geography, 2009,29(7):1166-1171.]
[27]	"城乡统筹发展研究"课题组. 中国农村公共财政投入现状与需求[J].华中师范大学学报(人文社会科学版),2015,54(5):1-11.[Research Group. Research on mechanism of public fiscal needs and input in rural areas in China[J]. Journal of Central China Normal University (Humanities and Social Sciences Edition), 2015,54(5):1-11.]
[28]	张留飞. 云南边境地区乡村内生发展动力的提升研究[D]. 昆明:云南师范大学,2020.[Zhang Liufei. Study on the Promotion of Rural Endogenous Development Power in Yunnan Border Areas[D]. Kunming:Yunnan Normal University, 2020.]
[29]	金贵,邓祥征,董寅,等.发展地理学视角下中国多维贫困测度及时空交互特征[J]. 地理学报,2020,75(8):1633-1646.[Jin Gui, Deng Xiangzheng, Dong Yin, et al. China's multidimensional poverty measurement and its spatio-temporal interaction characteristics in the perspective of development geography[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020,75(8):1633-1646.]
[30]	Holtz-Eakin D, Newey W, Rosen H. Estimating vector autoregressions with panel data[J]. Econometrica, 1988,56(6):1371-1395.
[31]	徐勇,段健,徐小任.区域多维发展综合测度方法及应用[J].地理学报, 2016, 71(12):2129-2140.[Xu Yong, Duan Jian, Xu Xiaoren. Comprehensive measure methods of regional multi-dimensional development and their applications[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2016,71(12):2129-2140.]
[32]	Sastré Gutiérrez ML, Rey SJ. Space-time income distribution dynamicsin mexico[J]. Annals of GIS, 2013,19(3):195-207.
[33]	Ye X, Rey S. A framework for exploratory space-time analysis of economic data[J]. The Annals of Regional Science, 2013,50(1):315-339.
[34]	Rey S J, Janikas M V. STARS:Space-time analysis of regional systems[J]. Geographical Analysis, 2006,38(1):67-86.
[35]	张子昂,黄震方,曹芳东,等.浙江省县域入境旅游时空跃迁特征及驱动机制[J]. 地理研究, 2016, 35(6):1177-1192.[Zhang Ziang, Huang Zhenfang, Cao Fangdong, et al. The space-time transition characteristics and its driving mechanism of county-scale inbound tourism in Zhejiang province[J]. Geographical Research, 2016, 35(6):1177-1192.]
[36]	纪小美,陶卓民,陈金华,等.中国国际旅游省份差异的时空交互特征——基于主要客源市场的对比[J]. 地理研究,2016,35(2):363-376.[Ji Xiaomei, Tao Zhuomin, Chen Jinhua, et al. Space-time interaction of provincial inequality of international tourism in China:The comparison between main tourist markets[J]. Geographical Research, 2016,35(2):363-376.]